GBP/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED

2026-10-23 12:00 UTC 12 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.18 %

Entry

209.305

Target

208.359 +0.45 %

closes in profit

Stop

210.486 −0.56 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 8 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Break Down, MA Retreat Down, ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down +17 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – vs previous candle

STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 12 % (3.76) ▼ Bearish 88 % (28.43)

model score 88.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 9 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	3.21
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.43
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	2.42
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.33
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.28
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.02
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.93
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.83
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.76
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.24
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.20
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.17
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.12
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	1.06
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	1.04

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 1H with high probability and very strong strength.
Multiple indicators confirm downtrend and momentum shift.
Bearish trend aligned across most timeframes, supporting continuation.
Watch 210.48600 resistance as invalidation; 209.24000 support as target.

The 1H GBP/JPY signal is strongly bearish, with a 92% probability and very strong strength, driven by a broad confluence of indicators. AROON Cross Down and AROON Strong Downtrend confirm a decisive shift in trend direction, while AROONOSC Zero Cross Down signals momentum has turned negative. The MACD Signal Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down reinforce that both trend and momentum are aligned to the downside. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure is dominating, and the WILLR OS Entry suggests the market is entering oversold conditions, which can precede further downside if momentum persists. The BBANDS LOWER Break Down shows price is breaking below the lower Bollinger Band, often a sign of strong, volatile selling.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent from 15m up to 8H, with solid trend scores (3/5) on the 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes, indicating that the bearish momentum is well established and not just a short-term fluctuation. The 12H timeframe is choppy/sideways, suggesting that the medium-term context is less clear, but the higher timeframe (1D) is also bearish, which supports the overall downtrend. The nearest resistance at 210.48600 acts as a key invalidation level; a break above it would signal a potential reversal. The nearest support at 209.24000 is the next target, and a break below could accelerate the decline. Traders should monitor these levels closely for confirmation or invalidation.

Catalysts

▼ Broad confluence of indicators (AROON, MACD, STOCHF, BOP) all pointing down.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across 15m to 8H timeframes.
▼ Price breaking below lower Bollinger Band signals strong selling momentum.
▼ Higher timeframe (1D) also bearish, reinforcing the downtrend.

Risk Factors

▲ 12H timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating potential medium-term indecision.
▲ A break above 210.48600 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Oversold conditions (WILLR OS Entry) could lead to a temporary bounce.
▲ If momentum fades, the trend may stall before reaching support.