GBP/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED
15 hours ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.18 %
Entry
209.534
Target
209.161 +0.18 %
closes in profit
Stop
210.486 −0.45 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
GBP/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 30m 100%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.48
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.35
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.31
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.30
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.30
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.28
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.27
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.12
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.98
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.92
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.50
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.31
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.98
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.89
▲ RSX OS Entry indicator 0.77

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish alignment from 15m to 4h, with solid trend scores on 1h, 2h, and 4h.
  • Multiple moving average retreats and a BOP Zero Cross Down confirm downside momentum.
  • Watch the 209.24000 support for a potential breakdown; a reclaim of 210.48600 would invalidate the bearish case.
  • Higher timeframes (8h, 12h) are choppy, so the trend may lack full multi-day confirmation.
A dense cluster of bearish signals has fired on GBP/JPY at the 30-minute timeframe, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA), and a trendline retreat. The candlestick group adds confirmation, and the overall probability is very high at 93%. Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent from 15 minutes up to 4 hours, with solid trend scores on the 1h, 2h, and 4h charts, while the 8h and 12h are choppy but still bearish. This alignment suggests the current sell-off is part of a broader downtrend rather than an isolated move.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 210.48600, which could act as a pullback zone, and the nearest support at 209.24000, which is the immediate downside target. If the pair breaks below support, the bearish case strengthens; if it reclaims resistance, the signal weakens. The confluence of multiple indicator families and the cross-timeframe alignment make this a high-conviction setup, but the choppy higher timeframes warrant caution.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of eight+ indicators all pointing bearish, including moving averages and trendline retreats.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trend across 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h timeframes.
  • ▼ High probability (93%) and 'very strong' signal strength.
  • ▼ Candlestick group adds confirmation to the indicator-based signals.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Choppy 8h and 12h timeframes suggest the longer-term trend is not fully established, which could lead to a reversal.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 210.48600 resistance, the bearish signal loses validity.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the STOCH KD Cross Up (which fired) indicates a short-term bounce within the downtrend.
  • ▲ Nearby support at 209.24000 may be tested, but a bounce from there could stall the sell-off.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-23 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 210.48600 2026-10-23
R2 211.99000 2026-10-22
S1 209.24000 2026-10-23

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