GBP/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED

2026-10-23 15:00 UTC 9 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.03 %

Entry

209.736

Target

209.240 +0.24 %

closes in profit

Stop

210.486 −0.36 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 11 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish +11 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +4% Scalping

▲ Bullish 3 % (1.22) ▼ Bearish 97 % (41.53)

model score 9.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 12 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.32
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.32
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	2.23
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.18
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	ADX Trend Weak	indicator	1.12
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.90

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum on the 30m, with multiple indicators confirming a sell signal.
Higher timeframes (1h-4h) are solidly bearish, supporting the short-term downtrend.
Key levels: resistance at 210.48600 (invalidation) and support at 209.24000 (target).
Watch for any bullish reversal on the 15m or a break above resistance to invalidate the signal.

The 30-minute GBP/JPY signal is overwhelmingly bearish, with a 96% probability and very strong strength, driven by a broad alignment of momentum and trend indicators. The ADX Trend Weak indicates a weakening trend, while multiple zero-cross and cross-down signals (BOP, CMO, DI, DM, RSI, STOCHF, BBANDS) confirm bearish momentum. This confluence suggests a clear short-term selling opportunity.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, with solid trends on the 1h, 2h, and 4h charts, and trend-forming bearishness on the 8h and 1d. The 15m shows a nascent bullish counter-move, but it is weak (2/5) and likely to be overridden. The nearest resistance at 210.48600 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish case. Support at 209.24000 is the immediate downside target.

Catalysts

▼ Broad alignment of momentum and trend indicators (RSI, CMO, DI, DM, STOCHF) all crossing down.
▼ Solid bearish trends on 1h, 2h, and 4h timeframes provide a strong higher-timeframe tailwind.
▼ The 30m bearish signal is reinforced by the 2h and 4h solid trends, increasing confluence.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m timeframe shows a bullish trend forming, which could lead to a short-term bounce.
▲ The 30m trend is choppy/sideways, indicating potential consolidation and false moves.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 210.48600 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Momentum could fade if the ADX Trend Weak persists, signaling a loss of trend strength.