GBP/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED
11 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %
Entry
1.33718
Target
1.32987 +0.55 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.34076 −0.27 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 15 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down +15 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping
▲ Bullish 2 % (1.13) ▼ Bearish 98 % (63.83)
model score 11.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 16 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.4 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.7 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 581 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
GBP/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 30m 12%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.17
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.09
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.07
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.68
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.67
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.67
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.67
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.66
▼ CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.54
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.51
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.49
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.41
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.41
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.36
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.32
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.99
▼ Closing Marubozu Bearish candlestick 0.92

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI, STOCHF) all crossed down on the 30-minute chart, signaling a strong short-term bearish shift.
  • The 1-hour and 4-hour trends are bearish, lending support to the sell, but the 15-minute and 30-minute trends are still bullish and choppy, which could slow the move.
  • Watch the nearest support at 1.33550 as a potential target or bounce zone; a break below would confirm the bearish momentum, while a move above resistance at 1.34076 would invalidate the signal.
  • Longer timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, so this is a counter-trend trade against the bigger picture—manage risk accordingly.
The GBP/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum signals, with all major oscillators—BOP, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI, and STOCHF—crossing below their zero or midline thresholds. This synchronized cross-down, combined with additional candlestick and indicator signals, points to a strong short-term shift in momentum favoring the downside. The confluence across multiple independent indicators suggests that selling pressure is broad-based rather than isolated, which typically increases the reliability of the signal.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish on the higher timeframes that matter for the 30-minute trade. The 1-hour and 4-hour charts are both bearish with trend-forming strength, providing a supportive backdrop for the short-term sell. However, the 15-minute and 30-minute trends are still bullish, albeit choppy and weak, which could create some resistance to immediate downside follow-through. The 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily trends are bullish, so the sell signal is essentially a counter-trend move against the longer-term bias. Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 1.33550, which could act as a target or a bounce point, and the nearest resistance at 1.34076, which should now act as a ceiling. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ High signal confluence: multiple independent oscillators (BOP, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI, STOCHF) all crossing down simultaneously on the 30-minute chart.
  • ▼ Bearish alignment on the 1-hour and 4-hour trends, which are directly relevant to the 30-minute timeframe.
  • ▼ The signal strength is rated 'very strong' with a 100% probability, reflecting the dense cluster of signals.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 1.34076 is close by, providing a clear invalidation level just above the current price.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are still bullish, albeit choppy and weak, which could indicate that the bearish momentum is not yet fully established and may face counter-trend pressure.
  • ▲ The longer-term trends (8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, so this sell signal is counter to the larger trend, increasing the risk of a reversal or a shallow move.
  • ▲ If price fails to break below the nearest support at 1.33550, the bearish momentum could fade, and a bounce could occur.
  • ▲ A move back above the nearest resistance at 1.34076 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
Symbol GBP/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 12%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-23 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.34076 2026-10-23
R2 1.34191 2026-10-22
S1 1.33550 2026-10-22
S2 1.32987 2026-10-19

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