LUNC/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW
41 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.50 %
Entry
0.00004579
Target
0.00004756 +3.87 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.00004447 −2.88 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 12
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 1,511 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,511 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
31 % at target avg +2.77 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.98 % 20 % at stop avg −3.83 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, CCI OS Exit +7 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
62.9 % – first candle
STRONG ⚡ Confluence +5% Swing
▲ Bullish 82 % (19.14) ▼ Bearish 18 % (4.12)
model score 82.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.0 % vs 32.1 % on average · stopped out 26.7 % vs 22.2 % (crypto, 2,405 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
LUNC/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 04:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 2.64
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 2.32
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.83
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.73
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.59
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.54
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.46
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.44
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.38
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.19
▼ APO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.07
▲ Long Line Bullish candlestick 0.93
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.81

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong bullish signal cluster on the 4H chart suggests a potential reversal from the recent downtrend.
  • Higher timeframes are still bearish, so the move is counter-trend; watch for confirmation above 0.00005.
  • Key levels: resistance at 0.00005, support at 0.00004; a break of support invalidates the bullish case.
  • The signal strength is strong with 82% probability, but the trend conflict adds risk.
The 4H chart for LUN/CUSDT has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including APO Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, and ER Level Cross Down. These oscillators and momentum indicators are all converging to suggest that the recent downtrend may be exhausting and a reversal is underway. The confluence of multiple oversold exits and crossovers points to a strong probability (82%) of a bullish move, with the strength rated as strong.

However, the higher timeframes (2H through 1D) remain bearish, with the 8H and 12H trends showing very strong bearish momentum. This creates a conflict: the lower timeframes (15m to 1H) are turning bullish, but the broader trend is still downward. The nearest resistance at 0.00005 is a critical level; a break above it would confirm the reversal and align the higher timeframes. Conversely, if support at 0.00004 fails, the bullish thesis is invalidated. Traders should watch for sustained price action above the 0.00005 level to confirm the shift.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oscillators (APO, BOP, CCI, STOCHRSI, WILLR) all exiting oversold or crossing zero simultaneously.
  • ▲ BBANDS lower band retreat and HT PHASOR inphase cross down add to the confluence of bullish signals.
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m-1H) are already bullish, showing early momentum building.
  • ▲ Signal strength is rated strong, with a high probability of 82%.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (2H-1D) are bearish, with 8H and 12H showing very strong bearish trends; this could overpower the 4H reversal.
  • ▼ If price fails to hold above the 0.00004 support, the bullish setup is invalidated.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.00005 is nearby and may cap upside if the broader trend remains bearish.
  • ▼ Oscillator signals can be early and fade if momentum doesn't follow; watch for a stall below resistance.
Symbol LUNC/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 82%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-23 00:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.00005 2026-10-20
R2 0.00005 2026-10-16
R3 0.00005 2026-10-10
S1 0.00004 2026-10-18

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