NEAR/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
49 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.92 %
Entry
4.9170
Target
4.8280 +1.81 %
closes in profit
Stop
5.0670 −3.05 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 10,590 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 10,590 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 % 23 % at stop avg −1.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 50 Break Down, ALMA Break Down, HMA Break Down +16 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.9 % ↓ −31.2 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping
▲ Bullish 7 % (2.39) ▼ Bearish 93 % (31.81)
model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.0 % vs 32.1 % on average · stopped out 26.7 % vs 22.2 % (crypto, 2,405 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
NEAR/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 04:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ SMA 50 Break Down indicator 2.58
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.39
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.27
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 2.08
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.89
▼ AO Saucer Bearish indicator 1.72
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.69
▼ DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.68
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.63
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.59
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.57
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.54
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.52
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.34
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.30
▼ Long Line Bearish candlestick 1.25
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.24
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.19
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.15
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.15

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence on the 30m chart: multiple oscillators and moving averages agree on a downward shift.
  • Higher timeframe trends are mixed: 1d is bullish, but 2h-12h are bearish, suggesting a correction within a larger uptrend.
  • Watch the 4.82800 support: holding it may contain the decline, while a break could open deeper downside.
  • Resistance at 5.06700 is the key invalidation level: a reclaim would negate the bearish signal.
The NEA/RUSDT pair has triggered a very strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute timeframe, with 93% probability and a confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators. The CCI OB Exit, CMO Zero Cross Down, and RSI Midline Cross Down all point to a loss of upside momentum, while the DX Trend Weak and multiple moving average retreats (EMA 50, SMA 200, SMA 50 Break Down) suggest the prevailing bullish structure is yielding. This alignment across oscillators and moving averages indicates a high-conviction shift in short-term sentiment.

However, the broader trend picture is mixed. While the 30-minute and 15-minute timeframes show bullish trends (albeit weak at 2/5), the 2-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour timeframes are already bearish, and the 1-day is a solid bullish trend (3/5). This suggests the sell signal is part of a larger bearish correction within a higher-timeframe uptrend. The nearest support at 4.82800 is a critical level to watch—if it holds, the bearish move may be limited; a break below could accelerate selling. The nearest resistance at 5.06700 is now the invalidation zone; any reclaim would signal that the bearish momentum has faded.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Over 20 signals fired, including CCI, CMO, RSI, DX, and multiple moving average retreats, indicating strong multi-indicator agreement.
  • ▼ Bearish alignment across 2h, 8h, and 12h timeframes supports the short-term sell signal.
  • ▼ The 93% probability and 'very strong' strength reflect high conviction in the signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 1-day timeframe is a solid bullish trend (3/5), which could overpower the short-term bearish move.
  • ▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are still bullish (though weak), so the bearish signal may be early or face counter-trend bounces.
  • ▲ If the 5.06700 resistance is reclaimed, the bearish thesis is invalidated, and the pair could resume its higher-timeframe uptrend.
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways trends on several timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) indicate a lack of clear directional conviction, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
Symbol NEAR/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-23 04:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 5.06700 2026-10-22
R2 5.45100 2026-10-21
S1 4.82800 2026-10-22
S2 4.63400 2026-10-20
S3 4.62100 2026-10-18

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