NEAR/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-23 03:00 UTC 42 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.79 %

Entry

4.9560

Target

4.6340 +6.50 %

closes in profit

Stop

5.4510 −9.99 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 15

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 5,364 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 5,364 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +1.61 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.53 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.53 % 22 % at stop avg −2.09 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 1h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MA Retreat Down, VIDYA Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +13% Intraday

▲ Bullish 8 % (1.80) ▼ Bearish 92 % (20.75)

model score 92.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.0 % vs 32.1 % on average · stopped out 26.7 % vs 22.2 % (crypto, 2,405 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 04:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.80
▼	VIDYA Retreat Down	indicator	1.69
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.62
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	ADX Trend Weak	indicator	1.51
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.32
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	1.11
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.04
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.01

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A broad set of momentum and trend indicators (ADX, BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF, EMA, KAMA, MA) all point to a bearish shift on the 1-hour chart.
The bearish signal is strongest on the lower timeframes, but the 1-day trend remains solidly bullish, so the move may be a pullback within a larger uptrend.
Watch the 4.63400 support level: a break below would confirm the bearish momentum, while a hold could lead to a bounce.
The 5.45100 resistance is the key invalidation zone; reclaiming it would weaken the bearish case.

A dense cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators has fired simultaneously on the 1-hour chart, all pointing to a bearish shift. The ADX Trend Weak signal indicates that the prevailing trend is losing conviction, while the BOP, CMO, and RSI all crossing below their zero or midline levels confirm that selling pressure is building and buying momentum has stalled. The STOCHF KD Cross Down adds a short-term momentum confirmation, and the retreat of the EMA 200, KAMA, and MA below their prior levels suggests that the longer-term moving averages are beginning to roll over, aligning with the bearish direction.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but with a clear short-term bearish tilt. The 1-hour, 2-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour timeframes all show choppy or sideways conditions, with the 2-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour already bearish. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are still bullish but only weakly forming, and the 1-day is solidly bullish, which presents a conflicting higher-timeframe headwind. The nearest resistance at 5.45100 and support at 4.63400 define the immediate trading range; a break below support would validate the bearish signal, while a reclaim of resistance would suggest the pullback is fading.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple independent indicators (ADX, BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF) are converging on the same bearish direction, increasing signal reliability.
▼ The retreat of the EMA 200, KAMA, and MA suggests that longer-term moving averages are starting to align with the short-term bearish move.
▼ The bearish trend on the 2-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour timeframes provides a supportive backdrop for the 1-hour signal.
▼ The signal strength is rated 'very strong' with a 92% probability, indicating high confidence in the setup.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1-day timeframe shows a solid bullish trend, which could override the lower-timeframe bearish signal and lead to a reversal.
▲ The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are still bullish, and if they strengthen, they could pull the 1-hour trend back up.
▲ The nearest resistance at 5.45100 is not far above the current price; a quick reclaim would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The choppy/sideways conditions on several timeframes suggest that the market may lack a clear directional bias, increasing the chance of a false signal.