NZD/USD – 2H – BUY

BUY 5× UPDATED
14 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.29 %
Entry
0.56843
Target
0.57104 +0.46 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.56678 −0.29 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 5 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 763 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 763 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up, EMA 50 Retreat Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +15% Intraday
▲ Bullish 92 % (38.42) ▼ Bearish 8 % (3.54)
model score 91.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 6 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 573 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
NZD/USD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 6 × 2h 92%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.71
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.71
▲ EMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 2.28
▲ SMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 2.18
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.05
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.90
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.53
▲ Southern Doji candlestick 1.36
▲ HT SINE Cross Up indicator 1.31
▲ Bullish Harami Cross candlestick 1.07

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish confluence on 2H with multiple indicators aligning.
  • Higher timeframes (4H-12H) support bullish trend, but 1D is strongly bearish.
  • Watch key levels: resistance at 0.57104, support at 0.56678.
  • Choppy lower timeframes (15m-1h) signal caution; wait for confirmation.
The NZD/USD 2H signal fires a strong bullish cluster (92% probability) with a very strong strength score, driven by multiple indicators aligning: BOP Zero Cross Up, EMA 50 Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, MIDPOINT/MIDPRICE Retreat Up, SMA 50 Retreat Up, HT SINE Cross Up, and KDJ Cross Down. This confluence suggests a shift from bearish to bullish momentum on the 2H timeframe, supported by the broader trend structure where higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are bullish, with the 12H showing a solid trend. However, the 15m to 1h timeframes remain bearish and choppy, indicating that the bullish signal is still forming at the lower end, and the 1D timeframe is strongly bearish, which could act as a counterweight. The nearest resistance at 0.57104 and support at 0.56678 define the immediate range; a break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum, while a fall below support would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicator types (candlestick and indicator) fire together, increasing confidence.
  • ▲ Trend alignment across 2H-12H timeframes supports a bullish bias.
  • ▲ Retreat patterns (EMA, KAMA, MIDPOINT, etc.) suggest price is pulling back to moving averages, often preceding upward moves.
  • ▲ HT SINE Cross Up adds a cyclical component to the bullish case.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Strong bearish 1D trend could overpower the 2H signal, leading to false breakouts.
  • ▼ Choppy, sideways action on lower timeframes (15m-1h) indicates lack of momentum.
  • ▼ If price fails to hold above support at 0.56678, the bullish signal is invalidated.
  • ▼ Nearby resistance at 0.57104 may cap upside if not convincingly broken.
Symbol NZD/USD
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 92%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-23 09:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.57104 2026-10-22
S1 0.56678 2026-10-22
S2 0.55653 2026-10-14

Tags

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