USD/CAD – 2H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
7 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.03 %
Entry
1.40060
Target
1.40821 +0.54 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.38265 −1.28 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 763 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 763 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: CTI OS Exit, KST Signal Cross Up, SMI Signal Cross Up +14 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +21.3 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +3% Intraday
▲ Bullish 96 % (21.13) ▼ Bearish 4 % (0.95)
model score 95.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CAD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 2h 96%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CTI OS Exit indicator 2.09
▲ KST Signal Cross Up indicator 1.83
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.83
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.77
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.71
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.58
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.58
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.43
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.42
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.42
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.42
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.33
▲ TSI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.24
▲ RSI OS Exit indicator 1.13
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 0.99
▲ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 0.80
▲ Long Line Bullish candlestick 0.78
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 0.76

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple oversold indicators on the 2H chart suggest a high-probability short-term bounce.
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) are bearish, so the bounce may be counter-trend.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 1.40821; a break could signal a larger reversal.
  • No defined support level means downside risk is open if the bounce fails.
The 2H USD/CAD signal fires a cluster of oscillator and momentum indicators out of oversold conditions, including CCI OS Exit, RSI OS Exit, and STOCH KD Cross Up, alongside a bullish candlestick pattern. This suggests a short-term corrective bounce within a broader bearish trend. However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) remain firmly bearish, with the 4H showing a very strong trend. The 15m and 30m timeframes are already bullish, indicating that the bounce may be gaining traction on lower timeframes, but the 1H and 2H are still bearish, creating a mixed picture. The nearest resistance at 1.40821 is a critical level to watch; a break above could signal a deeper reversal, while a rejection would confirm the bearish bias.

Traders should interpret this as a potential counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The confluence of multiple oversold exits on the 2H chart provides a high-probability signal (94%) for a short-term upward move, but the strength of the bearish trend on higher timeframes argues for caution. The absence of a defined nearest support level suggests that downside risk is open, and any failure to hold above the current price could lead to a continuation of the bearish trend. Monitoring the 1.40821 resistance and the 1H/2H trend shift to bullish would be key to confirming a more sustained reversal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of oversold exits (CCI, RSI, STOCH, WILLR) on the 2H timeframe.
  • ▲ Bullish candlestick pattern adds to the momentum signal.
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) already bullish, indicating early trend alignment.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength (94% probability) supports the bounce scenario.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) are bearish, potentially overpowering the bounce.
  • ▼ The 1H and 2H timeframes are still bearish, showing conflicting trend direction.
  • ▼ If the price fails to hold above the current level, the lack of support could lead to a sharp decline.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 1.40821 may act as a ceiling, capping the upside.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 96%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-23 15:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40821 2026-10-21
R2 1.43000 2026-10-14

Tags

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