USD/CAD – 2H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-23 11:00 UTC 12 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.27 %

Entry

1.39733

Target

1.39085 +0.46 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.40821 −0.78 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 4 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 763 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 763 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, MAMA PRICE Break Down, BBANDS LOWER Break Down +15 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +3% Intraday

▲ Bullish 26 % (7.30) ▼ Bearish 74 % (20.88)

model score 4.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	3.36
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	3.15
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	3.01
▼	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.93
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.48
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.39
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.31
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.22
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.12
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.52
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.44
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.26
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.24
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.17
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.13
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.12
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.08
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.05
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	0.94

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish alignment across all timeframes, with the 4H trend very strong.
Multiple indicators (AROON, MACD, RSI, WILLR, BBANDS, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA) confirm the downtrend.
Nearest resistance at 1.40821 is the key level to watch; a break above would invalidate the bearish signal.
RSI and WILLR are oversold, suggesting potential for a short-term bounce, but the trend remains bearish.

The USD/CAD 2H signal aligns with a broad bearish consensus across all monitored timeframes, from 15m to 1d. The 4H timeframe shows a very strong trend (4/5), while the 2H and 8H are solid (3/5), indicating that the downtrend is well-established and not just a short-term fluctuation. The confluence of multiple indicator groups—including AROON, MACD, RSI, WILLR, BBANDS, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, and KAMA—all pointing lower reinforces the signal's strength. The nearest resistance at 1.40821 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish thesis. However, the absence of a defined support level suggests that the market is in a strong downtrend with no immediate floor, which could lead to sharp declines but also increases the risk of a sudden reversal if the move becomes overextended.

The RSI and WILLR are in oversold territory, which may indicate that the selling pressure is intense but also that a bounce could occur at any time. The 1H timeframe is choppy/sideways, showing some hesitation in the very short term, but the overall alignment across higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1d) supports the bearish direction. Traders should monitor the price action around the 1.40821 resistance level and watch for any signs of a bullish reversal, such as a break above this level or a shift in momentum on the lower timeframes. The strength of the signal is high, but the oversold conditions warrant caution against chasing the move at these levels.

Catalysts

▼ Broad alignment across all timeframes from 15m to 1d, with the 4H trend very strong.
▼ Confluence of multiple indicator groups (trend, momentum, and volatility) all pointing lower.
▼ The absence of a defined support level indicates a strong downtrend with no immediate floor.
▼ The 2H signal is very strong (91% probability) and reinforced by solid trends on 8H and 1d.

Risk Factors

▲ RSI and WILLR are in oversold territory, which could lead to a short-term bounce or consolidation.
▲ The 1H timeframe is choppy/sideways, showing some hesitation that could precede a reversal.
▲ A break above the 1.40821 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ The lack of a defined support level means that if the trend reverses, the move could be sharp and unexpected.