USD/CHF – 1H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED
11 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.16 %
Entry
0.82385
Target
0.82636 +0.30 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.81917 −0.57 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 7 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up, DEMA Retreat Up +14 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % ↑ +5.7 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +52% Intraday
▲ Bullish 91 % (41.60) ▼ Bearish 9 % (3.96)
model score 91.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 8 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 573 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CHF  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 8 × 1h 91%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.41
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.13
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.11
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.08
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 1.96
▲ KST Zero Cross Up indicator 1.87
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.86
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.85
▲ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.71
▲ ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish indicator 1.71
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.67
▼ AO Saucer Bearish indicator 1.64
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.63
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.49
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.45
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.40
▲ CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.21
▲ RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 1.21
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 1.07
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 0.99
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.95

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish momentum on 1H, but higher timeframes are bearish—expect a potential short-term bounce only.
  • Watch key levels: resistance at 0.82433 and support at 0.81917; a break below support invalidates the bullish case.
  • The 1H trend is choppy/sideways, so the bullish signal may lack sustained follow-through.
  • Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CMO, RSI) align for a buy, but the 4H solid bearish trend is a major counterweight.
The 1H USD/CHF signal is strongly bullish (87% probability, very strong), driven by a cluster of momentum and volatility indicators: a Trendline Break Up, BOP and CMO zero-cross ups, RSI mid-line cross up, and WILLR OB entry. The bullish case is reinforced by a retreat from the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting a pullback within an uptrend rather than a reversal. However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, with the 4H showing a solid trend, which creates a significant conflict. The 1H trend itself is described as choppy/sideways, indicating that the bullish momentum is nascent and may lack follow-through.

Key levels to monitor are resistance at 0.82433 and support at 0.81917. A sustained move above resistance would confirm bullish intent, while a break below support would invalidate the signal. The confluence of multiple momentum indicators on the 1H suggests a short-term bounce, but the bearish higher timeframe trend warns that this could be a corrective move within a larger downtrend. Traders should watch for a shift in the 4H trend or a failure to hold above support to gauge whether the bullish signal can overcome the macro headwinds.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CMO, RSI) all crossing zero/midline upward.
  • ▲ Trendline break up adds a structural bullish element.
  • ▲ WILLR OB entry suggests oversold bounce potential.
  • ▲ Bullish trends on 15m and 30m provide near-term support.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframe bearish trends (4H solid) could overpower the 1H bullish move.
  • ▼ 1H trend is choppy/sideways, indicating weak trend strength (1/5).
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 0.82433 is close; a rejection there would signal fading momentum.
  • ▼ If price breaks below support at 0.81917, the bullish signal is invalidated.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 91%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-23 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.82433 2026-10-22
R2 0.82636 2026-10-21
R3 0.82704 2026-10-19
S1 0.81917 2026-10-23
S2 0.81916 2026-10-22

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