USD/CHF – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW CLOSED

2026-10-23 12:00 UTC 12 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.25 %

Entry

0.82228

Target

0.81917 +0.38 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.82433 −0.25 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMI Signal Cross Down +15 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.18
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.98
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	1.94
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.76
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.75
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.65
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.39
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.15
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.11
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.11
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.08
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	1.07
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.06
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	0.93
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.80

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum on the 1H with multiple overbought-exit signals.
Solid bearish trends on 15m, 4H, 8H, and 12H support the downside.
Near-term 1H/2H are choppy/sideways, so a pullback or consolidation is possible before continuation.
Watch the 0.81917 support: a break would confirm the bearish case; 0.82433 resistance is the invalidation zone.

The 1H USD/CHF signal is firmly bearish, with a strong 83% probability and a cluster of momentum and trend indicators aligning to the downside. The BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, CMO Zero Cross Down, and RSI Midline Cross Down all confirm a shift from overbought conditions to selling pressure, while the WILLR OB Exit and STOCHF KD Cross Down reinforce the momentum breakdown. The EMA 200 Retreat Down adds a trend-context layer, suggesting price is pulling away from a key moving average, which often signals a potential trend change.

Across timeframes, the bearish case is supported by solid trends on the 15m, 4H, 8H, and 12H charts, though the 1H and 2H are choppy/sideways and slightly bullish, indicating near-term consolidation. The 1D is bearish but choppy, so the higher timeframe is not fully aligned. The nearest resistance at 0.82433 and support at 0.81917 are the key levels to monitor: a break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a failure to hold below resistance could signal a stall.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI, STOCHF, WILLR) all exiting overbought conditions.
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down adds trend-context confirmation.
▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are bearish and solid, aligning with the 1H signal.
▼ Strong probability (83%) and strength rating.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1H and 2H are currently bullish and choppy, which could lead to a counter-trend bounce.
▲ The 1D timeframe is only choppy/sideways, so the long-term trend is not fully bearish.
▲ If price holds above 0.82433, the bearish signal may be invalidated.
▲ Momentum can fade quickly; watch for a reversal on the 15m or 30m to signal a potential stall.