USD/CHF – 2H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
7 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.00 %
Entry
0.82513
Target
0.82704 +0.23 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.81916 −0.72 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 763 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 763 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, ALMA Break Up, MA Break Up +13 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
39.7 % ↓ −19.6 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +9% Intraday
▲ Bullish 87 % (36.64) ▼ Bearish 13 % (5.27)
model score 25.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 573 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CHF  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 2h 26%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.49
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.45
▲ MA Break Up indicator 2.43
▲ EMA Break Up indicator 2.40
▲ MIDPOINT Break Up indicator 2.27
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.23
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 2.07
▲ SMA 50 Break Up indicator 2.07
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.05
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.96
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.78
▲ SUPERTREND Flip Bullish indicator 1.71
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.69
▲ AO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.62
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.62
▼ KDJ OB Entry indicator 1.27
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.21
▲ MAMA Cross Up indicator 0.86

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bullish signal has fired on the 2H timeframe, but it is running against a bearish higher-timeframe trend.
  • The nearest resistance at 0.82636 is the immediate hurdle; a break above would confirm the momentum shift.
  • Support at 0.81916 is the key invalidation level—losing it would negate the bullish case.
  • Watch for the 4H timeframe to flip bullish to confirm the trend is turning; until then, treat the move as a counter-trend rally.
The 2H USD/CHF signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish triggers, led by a Trendline Break Up, EMA Break Up, and MAMA Cross Up, alongside a retreat in the upper Bollinger band and a DEMA retreat. This confluence of trendline and indicator groups points to a decisive shift in short-term momentum, with the 2H timeframe flipping from choppy/sideways to a clearly bullish posture. The 91% probability and very strong strength rating underscore the conviction behind the move, suggesting that multiple independent algorithms are aligning on the same directional read.

However, the higher timeframes tell a more cautious story. The 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes remain bearish, with the 4H showing a solid trend (3/5) against the move. This creates a clear conflict: the bullish signal is firing against the grain of the larger trend. The nearest resistance at 0.82636 is a near-term ceiling that could cap the rally, while support at 0.81916 marks the invalidation zone. The alignment of lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) is supportive, but the 1H and 2H are still rated choppy, indicating the bullish push may need to consolidate before it can challenge higher levels.
Catalysts
  • ▲ A dense cluster of bullish triggers (Trendline Break Up, EMA Break Up, MAMA Cross Up) indicates strong short-term momentum.
  • ▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are already bullish and trend forming, providing early confirmation from lower timeframes.
  • ▲ The retreat of the upper Bollinger band and DEMA retreat suggest a pullback within an uptrend, offering a favorable entry point.
  • ▲ The 91% probability and very strong strength rating reflect high algorithmic conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 4H timeframe is bearish with a solid trend (3/5), which could cap or reverse the 2H move.
  • ▼ The 1H and 2H timeframes are still rated choppy/sideways, so the bullish trend may lack smoothness and could stall.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.81916 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely trigger a deeper decline.
  • ▼ Resistance at 0.82636 is nearby and could repel the advance, especially if the higher-timeframe bearish pressure persists.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 26%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-23 15:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.82636 2026-10-21
R2 0.82704 2026-10-19
R3 0.83950 2026-10-14
S1 0.81916 2026-10-22

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