USD/CHF – 30M – BUY

BUY 4× UPDATED

2026-10-23 16:30 UTC 7 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.00 %

Entry

0.82513

Target

0.82700 +0.23 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.81917 −0.72 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 8 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH OB Exit, ALMA Break Up, DEMA Retreat Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 100 % (24.31) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 15.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 9 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 573 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.66
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.11
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.96
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.90
▲	Double Bottombreak + retest	chart_pattern	1.88
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.86
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.86
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.71
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.65
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.57
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.55
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.38
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.11

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish reversal signal on the 30-minute chart, but it's a counter-trend move against a solid 4-hour bearish trend.
Key levels to watch: support at 0.81917 and resistance at 0.82589; a break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case.
Higher timeframes are mostly bearish, so the signal may be a short-term bounce rather than a trend reversal.
The confluence of multiple indicators (Double Bottom, MA retreats, stochastic cross-ups) adds weight, but confirmation on higher timeframes is lacking.

The 30-minute USD/CHF chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a Double Bottom pattern and a cascade of moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA) plus stochastic and STOCHF cross-ups. The confluence of chart pattern, candlestick, and indicator groups at a 95% probability with very strong strength suggests a robust short-term reversal attempt from the recent lows. The nearest support at 0.81917 aligns with the double bottom's base, while resistance at 0.82589 is the immediate upside hurdle.

However, the higher timeframe backdrop is predominantly bearish, with solid 4-hour trend and forming 8/12-hour trends all pointing down. The 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes show choppy, sideways bullish signals, indicating that the bullish momentum is still in its infancy. This means the 30-minute signal is likely a counter-trend correction within a larger downtrend, and its sustainability depends on whether the price can break above the 0.82589 resistance and flip the higher timeframes. A failure to hold above support or a rejection at resistance would invalidate the bullish case.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA) aligning in the same direction.
▲ Double Bottom pattern providing a classic reversal setup at a key support level.
▲ Stochastic and STOCHF cross-ups confirming momentum shift to the upside.
▲ Very strong signal strength (95% probability) with a dense cluster of signals.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H, 12H) are bearish, which could overpower the 30-minute bullish move.
▼ Resistance at 0.82589 is close and may cap the upside if not broken.
▼ The 1H and 2H timeframes are choppy/sideways, suggesting weak trend conviction.
▼ Watch for a break below support at 0.81917, which would invalidate the Double Bottom and signal a continuation of the larger downtrend.