USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED

2026-10-23 13:00 UTC 11 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.06 %

Entry

156.743

Target

158.344 +1.02 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.075 −0.43 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 7 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, BOP Zero Cross Up +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 78 % (32.04) ▼ Bearish 22 % (8.99)

model score 3.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 720 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	2.09
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.75
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.41
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.03
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	1.01

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish 1H signal but weak probability (62%) and weak strength.
All higher timeframes (30m to 1d) are bearish, creating a conflicting backdrop.
Key levels: resistance at 158.344, support at 156.075.
Watch for confirmation above 158.344 and invalidation below 156.075.

The 1H USD/JPY signal fires a cluster of bullish indicators despite a broader bearish trend across most timeframes. The BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up suggest early momentum shifting in favor of buyers, while the HT SINE Cross Down and ER Level Cross Down are contrarian signals that often mark exhaustion of the prior move. The ERI BULL Zero Cross Down and ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit hint that the market may have been oversold and is now mean-reverting. The TTM TREND Trend Up and the bullish Closing Marubozu candlestick add confirmation of a short-term reversal attempt.

However, the alignment is poor: all timeframes from 30m up to 1d show bearish trends, with only 15m showing a forming bearish trend. The 1H, 2H, and 4H all have solid bearish trends (3/5), which argues against a sustained rally. The signal is weak (62% probability) and the nearest resistance at 158.344 is not far above, while support sits at 156.075. For this buy signal to gain traction, price must hold above the 156.075 support and push through the 158.344 resistance; failure to do so would likely invalidate the bullish case.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish indicators fired together (BOP, STOCHF, TTM TREND, Marubozu).
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit suggests oversold conditions may be reversing.
▲ Bullish candlestick pattern (Closing Marubozu) adds price-action confirmation.
▲ Nearest resistance is relatively close, offering a clear breakout target.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) are all in solid bearish trends, conflicting with the buy signal.
▼ The signal strength is weak, and probability is only 62%.
▼ If price fails to hold above 156.075, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ Resistance at 158.344 may cap upside if the broader bearish trend reasserts.