USD/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-23 13:00 UTC 7 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.07 %

Entry

156.934

Target

158.603 +1.06 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.376 −0.36 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: AO Saucer Bullish, WILLR OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 94 % (22.98) ▼ Bearish 6 % (1.49)

model score 14.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	2.76
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.19
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.95
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.84
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.71
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.65
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.54
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.51
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.38
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.34
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.09

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on 4H with multiple confirmations, but higher timeframes are bearish—treat as potential counter-trend.
Watch the 158.603 resistance; a break above could confirm bullish momentum, while 156.376 support is the invalidation level.
The 15m/30m are bullish but choppy, suggesting short-term noise; the 1H-4H bearish trend may dominate.
Probability is high (93%) but strength is very strong—still, conflicting timeframes warrant caution.

The 4H USD/JPY signal is strongly bullish (93% probability, very strong) with a broad cluster of indicators confirming upward momentum: BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, AO Saucer Bullish, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Up, SMI Signal Cross Up, HMA Direction Up, plus six more. These indicators together suggest a shift from oversold conditions to buying pressure, with multiple crossovers and a bullish pattern (AO Saucer) reinforcing the move. However, the higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) are bearish, with the 4H showing a solid downtrend. This creates a conflict: the 4H signal is bullish, but the higher timeframe trend is bearish, which could mean the bullish move is a counter-trend correction within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 158.603 is a key hurdle; if price breaks above it, the bullish case strengthens. Nearest support at 156.376 is the invalidation zone; a drop below would negate the bullish signal.

Catalysts

▲ Broad confluence of indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, AO, ER, KDJ, SMI, HMA) all pointing bullish on the 4H.
▲ AO Saucer Bullish pattern suggests a rounded bottom, often a reversal signal.
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicates oversold conditions ending, supporting upward pressure.
▲ Multiple crossovers (KDJ, SMI, STOCHF) confirm momentum shift.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1H-4H) are bearish, especially 4H solid trend—bullish signal may be a correction within a downtrend.
▼ Nearest resistance at 158.603 could cap upside; failure to break may lead to reversal.
▼ If price falls below 156.376 support, the bullish signal is invalidated.
▼ Choppy/sideways action on 15m/30m and 8H-1D suggests low conviction in the broader trend.