USD/JPY – 8H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-23 05:00 UTC 12 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.28 %

Entry

156.388

Target

152.883 +2.24 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.949 −1.64 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 48 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 253 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 253 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.65 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.40 % 20 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross, KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 16 % (3.95) ▼ Bearish 84 % (20.63)

model score 8.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.48
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	1.76
▼	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	1.68
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.46
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.40
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.33
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.24
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.20
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.09
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.03
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.89
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.66

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals align on the 8H, including a Death Cross and retreat patterns, pointing to a strong sell setup.
Trend is solid on 1H-4H timeframes, but choppier on 8H and above, so the move may be best for shorter-term trades.
Watch the 156.37600 support: a break would confirm the bearish trend, while a move back above 158.94900 would invalidate it.
The high probability (83%) and strong strength increase confidence, but higher timeframe choppiness warrants caution.

The USD/JPY 8H signal fires a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross, and multiple retreat patterns (KAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, T3). This confluence suggests a coordinated shift in momentum and trend structure, with the Death Cross confirming a bearish EMA alignment and the retreat signals indicating price pulling back from recent highs. The signal's 83% probability and strong strength reflect broad agreement across candlestick and indicator groups, making the bearish case compelling for the 8H timeframe.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent but with varying conviction: solid trends on 1H, 2H, and 4H (3/5) provide a robust mid-term backdrop, while shorter (15M, 30M) and longer (8H, 12H, 1D) timeframes show choppy or forming conditions. This suggests the bearish move is currently most reliable in the 3-8 hour window, with potential for extension if the 8H and higher timeframes firm up. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.94900 and support at 156.37600; a break below support would confirm the bearish thesis, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple indicator groups (candlestick and indicator) all firing bearish simultaneously.
▼ EMA Death Cross (20/50) and BOP Zero Cross Down confirm a shift in momentum and trend alignment.
▼ Solid bearish trends on 1H, 2H, and 4H provide a supportive mid-term backdrop.
▼ Retreat patterns (KAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, T3) indicate price is pulling back from recent highs, reinforcing the sell signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are choppy/sideways, suggesting the bearish trend may not have full conviction above the 4H level.
▲ The nearest resistance at 158.94900 is relatively close; if price reclaims this level, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the 15M and 30M trends (currently forming/choppy) fail to align with the mid-term bearishness.
▲ A false breakdown below support could lead to a quick reversal, so watch for volume and follow-through on any break.