AVAX/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-25 08:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.97 %

Entry

8.8460

Target

8.7600 +0.97 %

closes in profit

Stop

10.0540 −13.66 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 1,689 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,689 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.68 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.80 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.93 % 21 % at stop avg −3.77 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, HMA Break Down, DEMA Break Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,782 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

14:30TomorrowUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.067MPrevious -3.060Min 1 day
18:00TomorrowUSDFed Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.00%in 1 day
18:30TomorrowUSDFOMC Press Conference●●●in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	3.34
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.99
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.15
▲	RSX OS Exit	indicator	1.81
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.51
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.12
▲	MACDFIX Signal Cross Up	indicator	0.92

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

All timeframes from 15m to 12h are bearish, with the 1D trend just forming, indicating a strong and broad downtrend.
The signal clusters multiple bearish indicators (STOCH, DEMA, ALMA, HMA) that confirm each other, increasing confidence.
The nearest resistance at 10.05400 is the key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish signal.
There is no defined support below, so downside moves may be swift but targets are unclear.

The 4H signal fires a dense cluster of bearish indicators, all aligned in the same direction. The MACD fix signal crossing up may seem contradictory, but in this context, it likely reflects a short-term correction within a broader downtrend, which is then confirmed by the STOCH KD Cross Down and the break of multiple moving averages (DEMA, ALMA, HMA). The RSX exiting the oversold zone indicates that the recent bounce is losing steam, and the price retreating from the MAMA level confirms rejection at resistance. The trend is consistently bearish across all timeframes from 15m to 12h, with solid to very strong trend scores, and the 1D timeframe is just beginning to form a bearish trend, suggesting the selling pressure is broad and persistent.

Key levels to watch: the nearest resistance at 10.05400 is the immediate ceiling that has rejected price advances. With no defined support below, the path of least resistance is downward, but this also means that any support levels are unknown and could be found at psychological or historical levels. The confluence of indicators and the multi-timeframe alignment give this signal high probability (86%) and very strong strength. Traders should be cautious of any attempt to break above 10.05400, as that would invalidate the bearish thesis and could trigger a short squeeze. The lack of a known support level increases downside risk but also makes the trade less predictable in terms of target levels.

Catalysts

▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes with solid to very strong scores.
▼ Multiple moving average breaks (DEMA, ALMA, HMA) and HMA direction down confirm momentum.
▼ RSX exit from oversold suggests the bounce is over, aligning with the bearish continuation.
▼ Price retreat from MAMA level indicates rejection at resistance, reinforcing the sell bias.

Risk Factors

▲ The MACD fix cross up could signal a short-term bullish correction that may delay the downtrend.
▲ If price breaks above the 10.05400 resistance, the bearish thesis is invalidated and a squeeze could occur.
▲ The 1D trend is only forming (2/5), so higher timeframe momentum is not yet fully confirmed, which could lead to a reversal.
▲ Without a known support level, the trade may lack clear targets, increasing uncertainty.