ADA/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.05 %
Entry
0.2067
Target
0.2305 +11.51 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.2005 −3.00 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 6 of 12
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 1,689 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,689 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +2.68 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.80 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.93 % 21 % at stop avg −3.77 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: QSTICK Zero Cross Up, CTI OS Exit, KST Signal Cross Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,782 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
67.1 % ↑ +12.2 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +2% Swing
▲ Bullish 100 % (20.00) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 7 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.9 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 39.9 % vs 22.5 % (crypto, 1,801 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
ADA/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for ADA/USDT

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.067MPrevious -3.060Min 11h
  • TodayUSDFed Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.00%in 15h
  • TodayUSDFOMC Press Conference●●●in 15h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 4h 100%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 00:02 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 2.21
▲ CTI OS Exit indicator 2.15
▲ KST Signal Cross Up indicator 1.94
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.82
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.82
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.82
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.62
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.61
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.43
▲ VORTEX Cross Up indicator 1.39
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.36
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.27

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong bullish impulse on the 4H timeframe is firing, but it's a counter-trend move within a broader bearish structure.
  • Key resistance at 0.23050 is the immediate upside target; a break above could signal a deeper reversal, but the bearish higher timeframes argue for caution.
  • Nearest support at 0.20050 is the invalidation level; a drop below would negate the bullish signal.
  • The bullish signal is supported by a cluster of momentum indicators, but the bearish trend on higher timeframes (1H-12H) suggests it may be a corrective bounce.
The 4H ADA/USDT signal has fired a cluster of momentum and volatility indicators, all crossing zero or key thresholds in a bullish direction. This suggests a sharp, short-term upward impulse is developing within a broader bearish trend across higher timeframes. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are choppy and sideways, indicating early, unconfirmed price action, while the 1H to 12H timeframes all show solid bearish trends. The bullish signal is thus a counter-trend move, likely a corrective bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.23050 is the immediate upside target and a key level to watch; a break above could signal a more sustained reversal, but the bearish higher timeframes argue for caution.

The confluence of multiple zero-cross and cross-up indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF KD, BBANDS, DEMA, HT PHASOR) points to strong momentum alignment on the 4H timeframe. However, the trend across timeframes is predominantly bearish, with the 1H through 12H all showing solid bearish trends. This means the bullish signal is likely a short-term correction, not a trend reversal. The nearest support at 0.20050 is a critical invalidation level; if price falls below it, the bullish signal is likely false. Traders should focus on the resistance level as the primary hurdle and monitor momentum indicators for signs of fading.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF KD) all crossing zero or key thresholds in the same direction, showing strong short-term momentum.
  • ▲ The 4H timeframe signal has very strong strength and 93% probability, indicating high confidence in the move.
  • ▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are choppy but bullish on 15m, suggesting early price action is starting to turn up.
  • ▲ The cluster of signals (BBANDS, DEMA, HT PHASOR) adds confluence, supporting the idea of a coordinated upward push.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The higher timeframes (1H-12H) are all bearish with solid trends, meaning the bullish signal is likely a counter-trend move that could fade quickly.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.23050 is a significant barrier; if price fails to break above it, the bullish momentum could stall and reverse.
  • ▼ The choppy/sideways action on the 15m and 30m timeframes suggests the market is not yet committed to a clear direction, and the bullish signal may be premature.
  • ▼ If price falls below the nearest support at 0.20050, the bullish signal is invalidated and the bearish trend is likely to resume.
Symbol ADA/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-26 20:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.23050 2026-10-21
R2 0.23360 2026-10-16
R3 0.25950 2026-10-10
S1 0.20050 2026-10-24

Tags

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