AUD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-26 10:50 UTC 48 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

0.70271

Target

0.70048 +0.32 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70948 −0.96 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,244 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,244 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DI CROSS Cross Down, DM CROSS Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +1% Intraday

▲ Bullish 21 % (4.29) ▼ Bearish 79 % (15.88)

model score 78.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 585 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

17:00TodayUSD2-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.787%in 4h
12:30TomorrowUSDCore Durable Goods Orders m/m●●○Forecast 1.0%Previous 0.3%in 23h
12:30TomorrowUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.0%in 23h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.27
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	2.02
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.80
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.17
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.07
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	0.97
▼	Falling Window	candlestick	0.52

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 1H timeframe with multiple cross-down signals and overbought exits.
Higher timeframes (2H-12H) are still bullish, creating a potential conflict that may limit downside momentum.
Key levels: resistance at 0.70365 and support at 0.70048; a break below support could confirm the bearish move.
The 1D timeframe shows a solid bearish trend, providing longer-term alignment with the sell signal.

The 1H AUD/USD signal is strongly bearish with a 78% probability, driven by a dense cluster of cross-down signals across multiple indicator families (DI, DM, STOCH, KDJ, RSX) and an overbought exit on WILLR. This confluence suggests a momentum shift to the downside on the traded timeframe, with the nearest resistance at 0.70365 acting as a potential pivot if price retests it. However, the higher timeframes (2H to 12H) are still bullish, which creates a conflicting backdrop and may limit the depth of any immediate decline.

The trend alignment is mixed: the 15m and 30m are bearish but only forming, while the 1H is choppy/sideways, indicating the bearish signal is not yet fully established. The 1D timeframe shows a solid bearish trend, which adds weight to the sell bias over a longer horizon. Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 0.70048, which if broken could accelerate the move, and the resistance at 0.70365, which if reclaimed would invalidate the bearish thesis. Traders should monitor for confirmation on lower timeframes and be cautious of the bullish higher-timeframe pull.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicator families (DI, DM, STOCH, KDJ, RSX) all firing cross-down simultaneously, indicating strong momentum shift.
▼ Overbought exit on WILLR and RSX suggests the pair was stretched to the upside, ripe for a correction.
▼ The 1D timeframe is in a solid bearish trend, offering a higher-timeframe tailwind for the sell signal.
▼ Nearest resistance at 0.70365 is close, providing a clear level to defend if the bearish move is to persist.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H to 12H) are bullish, which could overpower the 1H signal and cause a reversal or sideways chop.
▲ The 1H trend is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear directional momentum; the signal may fade quickly.
▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 0.70365, the bearish signal is invalidated and a bullish continuation becomes likely.
▲ Trend scores on lower timeframes are low (2/5), suggesting the bearish move is still forming and may lack conviction.