AUD/USD – 2H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-26 11:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.33 %

Entry

0.70132

Target

0.69940 +0.27 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70365 −0.33 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 843 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 843 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: TEMA Break Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.5 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 631 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

17:00TodayUSD7-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 5.085%in 1h
00:30TomorrowAUDPPI y/y●●○Forecast 3.2%Previous 3.6%in 9h
00:30TomorrowAUDPPI q/q●●○Forecast 1.0%Previous 1.3%in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	TEMA Break Down	indicator	2.45
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.70
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.50
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.31
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.21
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.88

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of 11 bearish signals on the 2H chart points to strong short-term selling pressure.
The daily trend is solidly bearish, but the 4H-12H timeframes are bullish and choppy, creating a mixed backdrop.
Key resistance is at 0.70365; a break below support at 0.69940 would confirm further downside.
Momentum indicators (AO, ERI, KDJ, SMI) all align to the downside, reinforcing the sell signal.

The 2H chart for AUD/USD is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, with eleven indicators converging on a SELL. The retreat of the DEMA and MAMA Price below their respective guides, combined with a TEMA break down, points to a loss of upside momentum in the medium term. The HT Phasor Inphase Cross Up adds a cyclic dimension, suggesting the current down move is part of a larger wave structure. The AO Saucer Bearish, ERI Bear Zero Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, and SMI Signal Cross Down all confirm that selling pressure is building and that short-term momentum has flipped to the downside.

While the 2H trend itself is still labeled bullish and choppy, the signal is firing against that backdrop, which increases its potential impact. The higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are also bullish but choppy, so the bearish signal is not yet aligned with the broader trend. However, the daily chart is in a solid bearish trend, which adds weight to the sell signal. The key levels to watch are resistance at 0.70365 and support at 0.69940. A break below support would open the door to further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The confluence of signals on the 2H is strong, but traders should be cautious of the conflicting higher-timeframe bias.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple momentum and trend-following indicators (DEMA, MAMA, TEMA) all pointing down.
▼ Daily chart is in a solid bearish trend, providing longer-term support for the sell.
▼ The HT Phasor Inphase Cross Up suggests the current down move is part of a larger cyclic decline.
▼ Signal strength is 'very strong' with a 90% probability, indicating high historical reliability.

Risk Factors

▲ The 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes are all bullish, which could mean the sell signal is counter-trend and prone to failure.
▲ The 2H trend is still labeled bullish; a push above resistance at 0.70365 would invalidate the setup.
▲ Momentum could fade if the price stalls at support; watch for a bullish reversal pattern on lower timeframes.
▲ The signal is on a 2H timeframe, so it is short-term; a daily bullish move could overwhelm it.