AVAX/USDT – 12H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-26 12:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.69 %

Entry

8.9780

Target

7.1690 +20.15 %

closes in profit

Stop

11.7300 −30.65 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average +0.07 % per trade 629 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 629 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +5.27 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.92 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.87 % 16 % at stop avg −6.30 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 24 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, Gapping Down Doji

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,782 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

42.8 % ↓ −24.3 vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 7 % (1.22) ▼ Bearish 93 % (15.68)

model score 26.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

14:30TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.067MPrevious -3.060Min 11h
18:00TodayUSDFed Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.00%in 15h
18:30TodayUSDFOMC Press Conference●●●in 15h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 00:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.79
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum confirmed by multiple indicators and candlestick pattern.
Trend is solid across 2H to 12H, but 30M is choppy—expect short-term noise.
Watch 7.16900 support: a break could accelerate downside; 11.73000 resistance is the invalidation zone.
Probability 67% and moderate strength mean the move is likely but not extreme.

The 12H AVA/USDT signal is firmly bearish, with a 67% probability and moderate strength. The confluence of BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down confirms momentum shifting lower, while the HT SINE Zero Cross Up adds a cyclical top signal. The Gapping Down Doji candle reinforces immediate selling pressure. Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent and solid from 2H up to 12H, with the 1D timeframe also turning bearish, though still forming. The 30M timeframe shows choppy/sideways action, suggesting near-term noise, but the broader alignment supports the bearish bias.

Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 11.73000 and nearest support at 7.16900. A break below support would confirm continued downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish signal. The moderate strength and 67% probability suggest the move is not extreme, so traders should manage expectations. The trend across higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) is solid, adding weight to the signal, but the 30M choppiness and 1D forming trend indicate the bearish case is not yet fully mature.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down signals.
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Up adds a cyclical top signal, aligning with bearish momentum.
▼ Solid bearish trend across multiple timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) supports the signal.
▼ Gapping Down Doji reinforces immediate selling pressure.

Risk Factors

▲ 30M timeframe is bullish and choppy, which could create short-term countertrend moves.
▲ If price reclaims the 11.73000 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ 1D trend is only forming (2/5), so higher timeframe confirmation is not yet strong.
▲ Moderate strength suggests momentum may fade; watch for weakening indicators on lower timeframes.