AVAX/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW CLOSED

2026-10-26 20:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −3.37 %

Entry

8.9780

Target

10.0540 +11.98 %

closes in profit

Stop

8.6750 −3.37 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 1,689 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,689 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.68 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.80 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.93 % 21 % at stop avg −3.77 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, RSX Midline Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,782 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.9 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 39.9 % vs 22.5 % (crypto, 1,801 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

14:30TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.067MPrevious -3.060Min 11h
18:00TodayUSDFed Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.00%in 15h
18:30TodayUSDFOMC Press Conference●●●in 15h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 00:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.36
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.30
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.29
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.20
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	0.93
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	0.93
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	0.93
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.78

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A broad cluster of momentum and volatility indicators just flipped bullish on the 4H, signaling a strong counter-trend bounce.
The higher timeframes (2H-12H) are still bearish, so treat this as a potential retracement within a downtrend, not a confirmed reversal.
Watch the nearest resistance at 10.05400: a break above could shift the structure; failure keeps the bearish bias.
The STOCH KD Cross Down is a warning of possible short-term pullback; do not chase the move aggressively.

The 4H signal fires a cluster of momentum and volatility cross-ups—BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, BBANDS, RSX—all turning upward, alongside a STOCHF KD Cross Up. This suggests a strong, broad-based bullish impulse in the medium term, likely a reaction to an oversold condition. However, the STOCH KD Cross Down introduces a cautionary note, hinting at possible short-term pullback or consolidation within the larger move. The confluence of multiple indicators crossing up simultaneously elevates confidence in the signal's strength.

Across higher timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish and solid (2H-12H all at 3/5), which creates a conflicting backdrop. The 4H signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 10.05400 is a critical hurdle; a failure to break above it would keep the broader bearish structure intact. The support at 8.67500 is the invalidation zone—if price falls below, the bullish thesis is void. The mixed lower timeframes (15m bearish, 30m choppy) suggest the bounce may be early, but the strong 4H signal could be the start of a larger reversal if resistance is taken out.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, BBANDS, RSX) crossing up simultaneously adds strong confluence.
▲ The signal strength is 'very_strong' with an 86% probability, suggesting robust momentum behind the move.
▲ The bounce may be fueled by oversold conditions, as evidenced by the STOCHF KD Cross Up, which often precedes a relief rally.
▲ The 30m timeframe shows a bullish tilt, indicating early signs of buying pressure at the lower end.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend on 4H and higher timeframes (8H, 12H) argues against a sustained reversal; this could be a dead-cat bounce.
▼ The 15m and 1h timeframes are bearish, suggesting the bounce may not have full lower-timeframe support yet.
▼ The STOCH KD Cross Down signals potential for immediate downward pressure, possibly invalidating the move if price stalls.
▼ If price fails to break the 10.05400 resistance, the bullish signal loses credibility; a drop below 8.67500 support would invalidate the setup entirely.