BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-26 10:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

80,408.00

Target

79,368.67 +1.29 %

closes in profit

Stop

80,951.57 −0.68 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 11,406 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 11,406 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.08 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.46 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +9.2 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 7 % (1.02) ▼ Bearish 93 % (14.02)

model score 93.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

12:30TomorrowUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.0%in 1 day
14:00TomorrowUSDCB Consumer Confidence Index●●●Forecast 81.5Previous 81.9in 1 day
14:00TomorrowUSDNew Home Sales●●○Forecast 0.708MPrevious 0.684Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 10:32 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.03
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.02
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	Evening Doji Star	candlestick	1.14
▼	Evening Star	candlestick	1.10
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.02
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.97

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term BTC/USDT is bearish with a heavy cluster of signals, aligning with a broader downtrend from 30m to 8h.
Immediate support at 79368.67 is the key level to watch; a break below could accelerate selling.
Resistance at 80951.57 must hold for the bearish case; a reclaim would signal weakness in the setup.
Higher timeframe trending (2h, 4h) supports the bearish bias, but choppy lows (15m, 12h, 1d) warrant caution.

The 30-minute BTC/USDT chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ OB Exit, HMA Retreat Down, and two bearish candlestick patterns: Bearish Engulfing and Belt Hold Bearish. This convergence of momentum, volatility, and trend indicators points to a strong short-term bearish push. The signal aligns with the broader picture: while the 15-minute and 12-hour and daily timeframes are choppy/sideways, the 30-minute through 8-hour timeframes are all bearish and trending, with the 2-hour and 4-hour showing solid trend strength (3/5). The bearish sentiment is supported by the higher timeframe trend, suggesting the short-term downside is part of a larger move.

The key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 80951.57 and support at 79368.67. A break below support would reinforce the bearish signal, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish setup. Given the high probability (89%) and very strong strength, traders should respect the momentum but remain cautious of the choppy lower timeframe. The trend alignment across timeframes is a core bullish factor for the short side, but a failure to hold support could see a bounce back toward resistance.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicator signals (BOP, STOCHF, HT PHASOR, ER, KDJ, HMA) all firing bearish simultaneously.
▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Bearish Engulfing, Belt Hold Bearish) reinforce the momentum shift.
▼ Strong alignment across 30m to 8h timeframes, with 2h and 4h showing solid trend strength.

Risk Factors

▲ Choppy/sideways action on 15m, 12h, and 1d timeframes could mean the bearish move is only a pullback, not a sustained trend.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 80951.57, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if price holds support at 79368.67, leading to a range-bound bounce.
▲ The high probability (89%) might already be priced in, increasing the risk of a sudden reversal.