BTC/USDT – 8H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-26 16:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.01 %

Entry

80,150.56

Target

74,967.97 +6.47 %

closes in profit

Stop

84,898.00 −5.92 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 10

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 crypto 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.13 % per trade 915 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 915 closed crypto 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +4.16 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.40 % 27 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.66 % 21 % at stop avg −5.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 25 of 100 across all crypto 8h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,782 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −3.1 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (17.81)

model score 4.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

14:30TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.067MPrevious -3.060Min 12h
18:00TodayUSDFed Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.00%in 15h
18:30TodayUSDFOMC Press Conference●●●in 16h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 00:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.01
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.98
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.41
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.30

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 8H with 93% probability and very strong strength.
Multiple indicators align for downside, including BOP, STOCHF, and moving-average retreats.
Trend is bearish across lower timeframes but choppy on 12H and 1D, so watch for higher-timeframe conflict.
Key levels: resistance at 84,898 and support at 79,800; a break of support would reinforce the bearish case.

The 8H BTC/USDT signal is strongly bearish, with a 93% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of eight indicators: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, HT SINE Zero Cross Up, and TTM TREND Trend Down. These indicators collectively point to a shift in momentum and trend structure on the 8H timeframe, with multiple moving-average and price-based retreats signaling downside pressure. The HT SINE Zero Cross Up, while technically a bullish cross, is interpreted here as part of a broader bearish alignment, likely indicating a short-term bounce within a larger downtrend.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent from 15m up to 8H, with solid trend scores (3/5) on the 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes, and a forming trend (2/5) on the 8H. However, the 12H and 1D timeframes show choppy/sideways action (1/5), suggesting that the higher timeframes are not yet fully aligned. The nearest resistance sits at 84,898, while support is at 79,800. A break below the 79,800 support would likely confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of 84,898 would challenge the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of eight indicators all pointing bearish on the 8H timeframe.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across 15m to 8H timeframes, with solid trend scores on 1H-4H.
▼ Multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) indicate sustained downside pressure.
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down confirms the overall bearish trend direction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) show choppy/sideways action, which could mean the bearish move is not yet confirmed on those scales.
▲ The HT SINE Zero Cross Up is a bullish cross; if it gains strength, it could counteract the bearish signals.
▲ If price reclaims the 84,898 resistance, the bearish thesis weakens.
▲ Fading momentum on lower timeframes (15m, 30m) with low trend scores (1/5) suggests possible short-term consolidation before continuation.