EUR/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW
49 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %
Entry
1.11941
Target
1.11550 +0.35 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.12265 −0.29 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,244 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,244 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Intraday
▲ Bullish 6 % (1.63) ▼ Bearish 94 % (24.48)
model score 93.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
EUR/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSD2-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.787%in 4h
  • TomorrowEURECB Households Loans y/y●●○Forecast 3.0%Previous 3.1%in 20h
  • TomorrowUSDCore Durable Goods Orders m/m●●○Forecast 1.0%Previous 0.3%in 23h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.99
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.98
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.97
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.96
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.93
▲ KST Signal Cross Up indicator 1.63
▼ CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.51
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.50
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.45
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.35

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence on 1H with 12+ indicator signals all pointing down.
  • Higher timeframes (2H to Daily) are aligned bearish, supporting the sell bias.
  • Immediate resistance at 1.12265 caps upside; support at 1.11846 is the first downside target.
  • Weak bullish 15m/30m trends are choppy and unlikely to overcome the dominant bearish momentum.
The 1H EUR/USD signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (EMA 200, SMA 200, KAMA, MA). This convergence of selling pressure on the 1H timeframe suggests that the recent upside attempt has stalled and is now reversing lower. The bearish signal is reinforced by alignment across higher timeframes: the 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H all show bearish trends, with the daily chart displaying a very strong downtrend (4/5). The 15m and 30m are bullish but weak and choppy (1/5), indicating only minor counter-trend pressure that is unlikely to derail the dominant bearish flow.

Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 1.12265 and support at 1.11846. A break below the support would confirm the next leg down, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish setup. The confluence of retreat signals from multiple moving averages on the 1H suggests that the price is likely to respect the downward momentum, especially with the daily trend firmly bearish. Traders should monitor whether the 1H bearish move can sustain below the 1.11846 level to extend toward deeper targets, but must remain cautious of the choppy lower timeframes that could produce false breakdowns.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple momentum and trend-following indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCHF, MA retreats) all firing bearish simultaneously.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and Daily timeframes, with the daily showing a very strong bearish trend.
  • ▼ Price retreating from key moving averages (EMA 200, SMA 200) on the 1H, indicating rejection at resistance.
  • ▼ High probability (93%) and very strong signal strength suggest robust market conviction behind the move.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish (albeit weak), which could trigger short-term bounces that stall the selloff.
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on 4H and 8H (1/5) suggest the bearish trend may lack momentum, leading to range-bound behavior.
  • ▲ A break and close above the 1.12265 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could signal a shift to a bullish reversal.
  • ▲ Fading momentum on lower timeframes could cause the signal to play out slowly, requiring patience and strict risk management.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 94%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-26 10:50
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12265 2026-10-23
R2 1.12560 2026-10-22
R3 1.12608 2026-10-20
S1 1.11846 2026-10-23
S2 1.11806 2026-10-19

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