LUNC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-26 18:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.11 %

Entry

0.00004468

Target

0.00004363 +2.35 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00004674 −4.61 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 3 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 11,406 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 11,406 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.08 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.46 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: TEMA Break Down, ALMA Break Down, DI CROSS Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +4.2 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (5.33)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar

12:30TomorrowUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.0%in 16h
14:00TomorrowUSDCB Consumer Confidence Index●●●Forecast 81.5Previous 81.9in 18h
14:00TomorrowUSDNew Home Sales●●○Forecast 0.708MPrevious 0.684Min 18h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 18:32 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	TEMA Break Down	indicator	2.38
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	1.93
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.89
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 30-minute chart shows a strong bearish signal cluster, with multiple indicators aligned to the downside.
Higher timeframes are mixed: the 8h, 12h, and 1d are bearish, but the 1h, 2h, and 4h are still bullish, creating potential conflict.
Watch the 0.00004 support level; a break below would confirm the bearish move, while a move above 0.00005 would invalidate it.
The signal strength is very strong, but traders should be cautious of the higher-timeframe bullish bias.

The 30-minute chart for LUN/CUSDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, T3 Retreat Down, TEMA Break Down, ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down, and ALMA Break Down. This confluence indicates strong downside momentum on the immediate timeframe, with price breaking below multiple moving averages and momentum oscillators confirming bearish pressure. The signal strength is rated very strong, and the probability is at the upper end of the scale, suggesting that the short-term trend is firmly in favor of sellers.

Across higher timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish. The 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are all bearish, with the 12h showing a very strong trend, which lends solid support to the bearish case. However, the 1h, 2h, and 4h timeframes are still bullish, albeit with weak trend scores, indicating that the higher-timeframe bullish structure could act as a counter-trend force. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.00005 and support at 0.00004. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish indicators firing simultaneously on the 30m chart, including DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, and TEMA Break Down.
▼ Strong bearish trend on the 12h timeframe, with a very strong trend score of 4/5.
▼ Bearish alignment on the 8h and 1d timeframes, supporting the downside move.
▼ The ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down and ALMA Break Down confirm momentum and trend breakdown.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1h, 2h, and 4h timeframes are still bullish, which could lead to a counter-trend bounce or reversal.
▲ The 30m and 15m trends are rated as choppy/sideways, indicating that the bearish move may lack conviction.
▲ If price reclaims the 0.00005 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and the short-term trend could shift.
▲ The higher-timeframe bullish bias could absorb the selling pressure, leading to a range-bound market.