LUNC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-26 09:30 UTC 56 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.27 %

Entry

0.00004428

Target

0.00004350 +1.76 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00004674 −5.56 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 11,406 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 11,406 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.08 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.46 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 40 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MA Retreat Down, KELTNER MID Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −31.2 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 4 % (0.93) ▼ Bearish 96 % (19.94)

model score 7.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar

12:30TomorrowUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.0%in 1 day
14:00TomorrowUSDCB Consumer Confidence Index●●●Forecast 81.5Previous 81.9in 1 day
14:00TomorrowUSDNew Home Sales●●○Forecast 0.708MPrevious 0.684Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 10:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.29
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	0.93
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.86

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 30-minute SELL signal is very strong (95% probability) with a broad set of momentum indicators crossing down simultaneously.
The bearish signal aligns with the medium- and long-term trend, which is bearish from 4h up to 1d, increasing confidence in a continuation.
Watch the nearest support at 0.00004; a breakdown below it would confirm the bearish move, while a move back above 0.00005 could signal a false breakdown.
The 15-minute and 2-hour timeframes are bullish and choppy, so expect possible short-term bounces within the overall downtrend.

The 30-minute SELL signal on LUN/CUSDT is backed by a dense cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators all crossing lower simultaneously, including BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF, MA Retreat, HT PHASOR, and BIAS. This broad-based bearish alignment suggests a coordinated shift in buying pressure and price momentum, rather than a single isolated signal. The very strong probability rating (95%) reflects the confluence of these triggers, which together point to a near-term downward push.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish. The 30-minute and 1-hour charts are bearish, while the 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and 1-day charts all display bearish trends, with the 12-hour showing a very strong trend (4/5). This means the immediate sell signal aligns with the medium- and longer-term downtrend, increasing the likelihood of continuation. However, the 15-minute and 2-hour timeframes are bullish and choppy, indicating potential short-term counter-trend bounces. Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.00005 and support at 0.00004; a break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance could invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of multiple indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF, MA, HT PHASOR, BIAS) all firing bearish signals simultaneously.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are all bearish, with the 12h showing a very strong trend, supporting downside continuation.
▼ The signal occurs near resistance at 0.00005, providing a potential entry zone for sellers.
▼ The very strong probability rating (95%) reflects high conviction in the signal's reliability.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute and 2-hour timeframes are bullish and choppy, suggesting possible short-term counter-trend rallies that could trigger stop-losses.
▲ The 30-minute trend is only 1/5 strength, indicating choppy price action that may lead to false signals or whipsaws.
▲ If price breaks back above the nearest resistance at 0.00005, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and a short squeeze could occur.
▲ Momentum indicators can fade quickly in a choppy market, so the signal may lose steam before reaching the support level.