NZD/USD – 1H – SELL
SELL NEW
48 minutes ago
The plan for this signal
Running · now −0.02 %
Entry
0.56829
Target
0.56678 +0.27 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.56992 −0.29 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,244 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,244 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 %
36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 %
36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 %
12 % at stop avg −0.39 %
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: SMI Signal Cross Down, DPO Zero Cross Down, DI CROSS Cross Down +24 more
Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 %
– first candle
▲ Bullish 5 % (3.24)
▼ Bearish 95 % (57.00)
model score 94.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
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Signal evolution
Events for NZD/USD
Full calendar- TodayUSD2-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.787%in 4h
- TomorrowUSDCore Durable Goods Orders m/m●●○Forecast 1.0%Previous 0.3%in 23h
- TomorrowUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.0%in 23h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(26 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal on 1H with 94% probability and very strong strength.
- Multiple indicator groups (AROON, CCI, CMO, DI, DM, MACD) align for downside.
- Near-term timeframes (15m-2h) are bearish, but higher timeframes (4h-12h) are bullish, creating a tug-of-war.
- Key levels to monitor: resistance at 0.56992 and support at 0.56678.
The 1H NZD/USD signal is strongly bearish, with a 94% probability and a very strong strength score. A cluster of 25+ indicators has fired, including AROON Cross Down, AROON Strong Downtrend, AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, CCI Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, and MACD Signal Cross Down, alongside candlestick patterns. This confluence points to a decisive shift toward downside momentum on the 1H timeframe.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish in the near term. The 15m to 2h timeframes all show bearish trends, albeit choppy or forming, while the 4h, 8h, and 12h timeframes are bullish, with the 12h showing a solid trend. However, the 1d timeframe is bearish with a solid trend, which adds weight to the bearish case. The nearest resistance sits at 0.56992, and support at 0.56678. A break below support could accelerate the move, while holding above resistance would invalidate bearish pressure.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish in the near term. The 15m to 2h timeframes all show bearish trends, albeit choppy or forming, while the 4h, 8h, and 12h timeframes are bullish, with the 12h showing a solid trend. However, the 1d timeframe is bearish with a solid trend, which adds weight to the bearish case. The nearest resistance sits at 0.56992, and support at 0.56678. A break below support could accelerate the move, while holding above resistance would invalidate bearish pressure.
Catalysts
- ▼ High confluence of 25+ indicators firing in the same direction.
- ▼ Bearish alignment across 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes.
- ▼ Daily timeframe shows a solid bearish trend, reinforcing the signal.
- ▼ Proximity to resistance at 0.56992 could act as a launchpad for downside.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4h-12h) are bullish, which could counter the bearish momentum.
- ▲ The 30m-2h trends are choppy/sideways, indicating weak trend strength that may fade.
- ▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 0.56992, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum from the 1H signal may be temporary if the bullish higher timeframes reassert.
Symbol
NZD/USD
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Conviction
95%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-10-26 10:50
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.56992 | 2026-10-23 |
| R2 | 0.57104 | 2026-10-22 |
| S1 | 0.56678 | 2026-10-22 |
| S2 | 0.56532 | 2026-10-20 |
| S3 | 0.56408 | 2026-10-16 |