AUD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-27 15:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.14 %

Entry

0.98745

Target

0.98229 +0.52 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.99664 −0.93 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,394 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,394 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZLMA Break Down, HMA Retreat Down, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat +1 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 652 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

00:30November 2, 2026AUDBuilding Approvals m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous -6.1%in 2 days
04:30November 3, 2026AUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 3 days
04:30November 3, 2026AUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	3.05
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.69
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.49
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.30
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.16
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.03

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish confluence on the 1H: multiple indicators and candlestick patterns align for a potential sell.
Immediate downside target is the nearest support at 0.98229, with resistance at 0.98878 as the invalidation zone.
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, supporting the 1H signal, but lower timeframes are bullish, adding caution.
The signal is strong (77% probability) but should be managed with tight risk due to mixed trend alignment.

The 1H chart for AUD/CAD has triggered a confluence of bearish signals, including a retreat from the upper Bollinger Band, a pullback from the HMA, a break below the Zero Line Moving Average, and a retreat from the upper Keltner Channel. These are reinforced by candlestick patterns: a Long Legged Doji, indicating indecision, and a Matching Low, which often signals a pause in the downtrend. The signal suggests that the recent upward push has stalled and a reversal lower is likely, with the nearest support at 0.98229 as the primary downside target.

However, the broader trend structure is mixed. While the 1H and lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bullish, the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish. This creates a potential conflict: the bearish signal on the 1H could be a counter-trend pullback within a larger bullish move, or it could be the start of a larger bearish move aligning with the higher timeframes. The signal's strength and probability (77%) suggest a good risk-reward setup, but traders should watch the 0.98878 resistance level; a break above it would invalidate the bearish thesis.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (BBANDS, HMA, ZLMA, KELTNER) all point to a bearish reversal on the 1H.
▼ Candlestick patterns (Long Legged Doji, Matching Low) reinforce the bearish momentum.
▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, providing a broader context for the sell.
▼ The signal strength is strong, suggesting a high probability of the move playing out.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are bullish, which could mean the 1H signal is a counter-trend pullback within a larger uptrend.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.98878 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The 1H trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), indicating a lack of strong momentum on the signal timeframe.
▲ If the price fails to break below the nearest support, the bearish move could stall and reverse.