EUR/CAD – 4H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.46 %
Entry
1.56544
Target
1.55817 +0.46 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.59614 −1.96 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 513 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 513 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 18 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/CAD  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/CAD

Full calendar
  • TodayEURConsumer Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous -0.5%in 21m
  • TodayEURGDP y/y●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.5%in 21m
  • TodayEURGDP q/q●●○Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.0%in 21m

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 9 × 4h 85%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.80
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 1.79
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.71
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.62
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.61
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.58
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.53
▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.43
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.19
▲ KDJ OS Entry indicator 1.06

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • All key moving averages are retreating, signaling strong downward momentum.
  • Bearish alignment across multiple timeframes adds confidence to the sell signal.
  • Resistance at 1.59614 is the immediate barrier; a break above it would question the signal.
  • Oversold conditions from KDJ suggest downside may be stretched, so watch for potential bounces.
The 4H signal for EUR/CAD is strongly bearish, with a 94% probability and multiple momentum indicators aligning to the downside. The cluster of retreat signals — DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE all retreating — confirms that price is pulling back from recent highs, while the BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure. The KDJ OS Entry adds an oversold condition, which often precedes continued downside but may also signal a short-term bounce risk.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, with solid 3/5 trend scores on the 15m, 30m, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D charts, and forming 2/5 trends on the 1H and 2H. This alignment supports a sustained move lower. The nearest resistance at 1.59614 is the key level to watch; as long as price stays below it, the bearish bias remains intact. Since no nearest support is defined, traders should monitor for the next lower level where price may find a floor.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of ten signals, all pointing to selling pressure.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trend across 15m, 30m, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes.
  • ▼ Price is trading below nearest resistance, keeping bearish momentum valid.
  • ▼ Strong trend score (3/5) on the 4H timeframe itself.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ A close above 1.59614 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ Oversold KDJ could trigger a technical bounce, causing short-term noise.
  • ▲ The lack of a defined support level leaves room for unpredictable price action.
  • ▲ If higher timeframe (e.g., daily) momentum fades, the sell signal may lose strength.
Symbol EUR/CAD
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 85%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-27 01:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.59614 2026-10-15
R2 1.60194 2026-10-09
R3 1.60672 2026-10-06

Tags

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