EUR/CAD – 8H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.15 %
Entry
1.56544
Target
1.55070 +0.94 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.61385 −3.09 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 9 of 10
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 48 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 285 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 285 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.64 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.42 % 18 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, DEMA Break Down, ALMA Break Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
55.7 % ↑ +20.4 vs previous candle
WEAK Swing
▲ Bullish 35 % (4.62) ▼ Bearish 65 % (8.69)
model score 65.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 9 candles
EUR/CAD  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/CAD

Full calendar
  • TodayEURConsumer Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous -0.5%in 9m
  • TodayEURGDP y/y●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.5%in 9m
  • TodayEURGDP q/q●●○Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.0%in 9m

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 9 × 8h 65%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 2.99
▼ DEMA Break Down indicator 2.64
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.64
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.49
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.29
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.98
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.86
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.81
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.77
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.76
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.64
▲ Bullish Doji Star candlestick 1.03
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 0.98

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 8-hour chart points to strong downward momentum.
  • All timeframes are aligned bearish, with solid trends on most, reinforcing the sell signal.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 1.61385; a break above it could invalidate the bearish setup.
  • No clear support level nearby suggests potential for further downside, but also increased volatility.
The EUR/CAD 8-hour chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a stochastic cross down, a DEMA break down, an EMA retreat down, a KAMA retreat down, and several other moving-average retreats. This confluence indicates strong downward momentum across multiple indicator families, aligning with the candlestick group signals. The consistency of bearish trends across all timeframes—from 15 minutes up to daily—reinforces the conviction behind this sell signal, with the 8-hour, 4-hour, and 12-hour charts all showing solid trends. The nearest resistance at 1.61385 serves as a key level to watch for potential pullbacks, while the absence of a defined support level suggests room for further downside but also highlights the need for caution.

The alignment of shorter and longer timeframes suggests a well-established downtrend that is likely to continue. The very strong probability score (94%) and the sheer number of indicators firing in the same direction add to the signal's credibility. However, traders should monitor price action around the resistance level and watch for any signs of momentum exhaustion, especially given the lack of a clear support target. The overall picture remains bearish as long as price stays below the resistance and the moving averages continue to slope downward.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple moving-average retreats and a stochastic cross down.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trends across all timeframes, with solid trend scores on the higher timeframes.
  • ▼ High probability score (94%) and very strong signal strength.
  • ▼ Candlestick patterns support the bearish indicator signals.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 1.61385 would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the stochastic oscillator enters oversold territory.
  • ▲ The absence of a defined support level increases the risk of sharp reversals.
  • ▲ Any unexpected news or shift in market sentiment could counter the technical trend.
Symbol EUR/CAD
Timeframe 8H
Direction SELL
Conviction 65%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-26 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.61385 2026-10-01
R2 1.61855 2026-08-26
R3 1.62476 2026-08-05

Tags

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