NZD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-26 20:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.21 %

Entry

0.56815

Target

0.56697 +0.21 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.57042 −0.40 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,581 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,581 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: QSTICK Zero Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

12:30TomorrowUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 14h
13:45TomorrowUSDMNI Chicago Business Barometer●●○Forecast 61.3Previous 58.8in 15h
15:00November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	TEMA Break Up	indicator	2.48
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.90
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.32
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.10
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.04

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A bearish momentum cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests continued downside pressure, despite a short-term bounce attempt.
The 30-minute trend is forming bearish, aligning with lower timeframes, but higher timeframes (8h, 12h) are bullish, creating a conflict.
Watch the nearest support at 0.56697; a break below could accelerate selling, while a move above 0.57042 would invalidate the bearish setup.
The signal strength is moderate, so traders should wait for price confirmation before acting.

The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bearish momentum signals, including a MACD Signal Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, ROCR Cross Down, and RSX Midline Cross Down, all pointing to a loss of upside momentum. While the STOCH KD Cross Up and TEMA Break Up suggest a short-term bounce attempt, the HMA Retreat Up indicates that this bounce is already fading, aligning with the dominant bearish bias. The 30-minute timeframe itself shows a bearish trend forming, supported by bearish trends on the 15-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, and 4-hour charts, though the 15-minute and 1-hour charts are choppy, which tempers conviction.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.57042 and support at 0.56697. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a sustained move above resistance would invalidate the setup. However, the higher timeframes present a conflicting picture: the 8-hour and 12-hour charts are bullish, with the 12-hour showing a solid trend, which could limit downside potential. The daily chart is bearish with a solid trend, providing some longer-term alignment. Overall, the signal is moderately strong but requires confirmation from price action at these levels.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum indicators (MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSX) all crossed down, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
▼ The 30-minute trend is forming bearish, and the 4-hour trend is also forming bearish, suggesting medium-term downside alignment.
▼ The daily chart shows a solid bearish trend, providing longer-term support for the sell signal.
▼ The HMA Retreat Up indicates that the recent bounce is fading, aligning with the bearish bias.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h) are bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a reversal.
▲ The 15-minute and 1-hour charts are choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of clear trend and potential for false signals.
▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up and TEMA Break Up signal a short-term bounce, which could gain strength and push price higher.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 0.57042, the bearish setup is invalidated.