USD/CAD – 2H – BUY

BUY 13× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-26 23:00 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.33 %

Entry

1.40188

Target

1.40821 +0.45 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.39684 −0.36 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 843 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 843 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MA Break Up, SMA Break Up, HMA Break Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.8 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 16.7 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

12:30TodayCADGDP y/y●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.4%in 9h
12:30TodayCADGDP m/m●●●Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.0%in 9h
12:30TodayUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 13× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MA Break Up	indicator	2.88
▲	SMA Break Up	indicator	2.73
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.60
▲	HT TRENDLINE Break Up	indicator	2.27
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.96
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.68
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.40
▲	MAMA Cross Up	indicator	1.27

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 2H signal is a strong bullish confluence, but it stands against a solid bearish trend on higher timeframes.
Watch the nearest resistance at 1.40821; a break above it could signal a deeper correction, while the 1.39684 support is the key invalidation level.
This looks like a potential counter-trend bounce rather than a full trend reversal.
The oversold exit (KDJ OS Exit) and multiple moving-average breakouts suggest near-term momentum has turned higher.

The USD/CAD 2-hour chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Stochastic (STOCH) Cross Up, multiple moving-average breakouts (SMA, HMA, DEMA), a MAMA Cross Up, and an upside breakout of a higher-timeframe (HT) trendline. The KDJ oscillator has also exited its oversold zone, suggesting momentum is turning higher. This confluence of indicators points to a meaningful short-term reversal attempt within the 2-hour timeframe, with the signal showing very strong strength and a 100% probability reading.

However, the broader trend context is firmly bearish across nearly all higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D), and even the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes remain bearish. Only the 2-hour timeframe shows bullish momentum, which creates a clear divergence. The nearest resistance at 1.40821 is the immediate hurdle; a close above that level would strengthen the reversal case. Conversely, a failure to hold above the nearest support at 1.39684 would invalidate the bullish setup quickly. Traders should treat this as a counter-trend bounce until higher timeframes confirm a shift.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish indicator confirmations on the 2H chart (STOCH, MAMA, MA breakouts) increase signal reliability.
▲ Upside break of the higher-timeframe trendline suggests a possible shift in the short-term structure.
▲ Oversold exit (KDJ OS Exit) supports a bounce in price.
▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability reading indicate robust momentum alignment within the 2H timeframe.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are all bearish, which could overwhelm the 2H bullish move.
▼ The nearest resistance at 1.40821 may cap upside; a rejection there could lead to a re-test of support.
▼ If price falls below the nearest support of 1.39684, the bullish signal is invalidated.
▼ The bearish trend on the 15m and 30m timeframes may pull price back before the 2H setup matures.