USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 10× UPDATED CLOSED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.06 %
Entry
157.515
Target
158.251 +0.47 %
closes in profit
Stop
156.311 −0.76 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,581 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,581 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SAR Flip Bullish, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.5 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 631 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYTokyo Core CPI y/y●●○Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.7%in 1h
  • TodayJPYTokyo CPI excl. Food and Energy y/y●●●Forecast 3.0%Previous 3.0%in 1h
  • TodayJPYUnemployment Rate●●○in 1h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 95%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 2.36
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.29
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.23
▲ SMA Retreat Up indicator 2.23
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.21
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.18
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.16
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.14
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.95
▲ FISHER Zero Cross Up indicator 1.93
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.68
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.66
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.52
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
▲ High Wave Bullish candlestick 0.99

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on the 30m chart, backed by multiple retreat-up indicators and a BOP zero cross up.
  • Immediate trend alignment is bullish across the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 2h), but higher timeframes remain bearish.
  • Key resistance at 157.642 and support at 156.311 define the trading range; a break of resistance could extend gains.
  • The STOCH KD Cross Down suggests a possible short-term pullback, but the overall momentum favors buying dips.
The USD/JPY 30-minute signal is strongly bullish, with an 86% probability and very strong strength, backed by a broad cluster of retreat-up signals (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE) and a BOP Zero Cross Up, indicating improving buying pressure. The STOCH KD Cross Down may suggest a short-term pullback within the broader uptrend, but the overall momentum remains constructive. The 15m, 30m, and 2h timeframes are all forming bullish trends, while the 1h is choppy but still bullish, suggesting that the immediate momentum is aligned with the signal.

However, the higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, which creates a conflicting backdrop. The nearest resistance at 157.642 is a key hurdle; a break above it could open the door for further upside, while the nearest support at 156.311 serves as the critical invalidation level. Traders should watch for a sustained move above resistance to confirm the bullish continuation, and a close below support would negate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple retreat-up signals (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE) indicate strong bullish momentum on the 30m chart.
  • ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up confirms improving buying pressure, supporting the bullish case.
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 2h) are all forming bullish trends, aligning with the signal direction.
  • ▲ Probability of 86% and very strong strength suggest a high-confidence setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the trend.
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 157.642 may act as a strong barrier, preventing further gains.
  • ▼ STOCH KD Cross Down could signal fading momentum, leading to a pullback.
  • ▼ A close below nearest support at 156.311 would invalidate the bullish signal.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-26 20:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 157.64200 2026-10-26
R2 158.25100 2026-10-22
R3 158.34400 2026-10-21
S1 156.31100 2026-10-23
S2 156.07500 2026-10-23

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