USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-26 20:30 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.16 %

Entry

157.471

Target

156.649 +0.52 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.251 −0.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,581 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,581 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: AO Saucer Bearish, Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), DEMA Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.5 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 631 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

23:30TodayJPYUnemployment Rate●●○in 10m
23:30TodayJPYTokyo Core CPI y/y●●○Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.7%in 10m
23:30TodayJPYTokyo CPI excl. Food and Energy y/y●●●Forecast 3.0%Previous 3.0%in 10m

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 11× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 11× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.96
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.76
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.65
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.58
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.32
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.29
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.22
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.93

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster on the 30M chart suggests immediate downside momentum.
Higher timeframes (4H and above) are bearish, supporting the short-term sell signal.
Watch the 156.649 support level; a break below could accelerate downside.
The 157.642 resistance is the key level to monitor for invalidation.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including AROON Cross Down, AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI Zero Cross Down, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, AO Saucer Bearish, and SMI Signal Cross Down, among others. This convergence across multiple indicator families (momentum, trend, volatility, and volume) points to a strong short-term shift in momentum. The signal is rated very strong with 100% probability, suggesting a high degree of alignment among the firing indicators.

The broader trend structure is mixed, which adds nuance. While the 15-minute through 2-hour timeframes are still bullish, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, indicating that the short-term bullish phase may be losing steam and aligning with the larger downtrend. The nearest resistance sits at 157.642, and the nearest support is at 156.649. A break below the support level would confirm the bearish reversal, while a reclaim of resistance could invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators across momentum, trend, and volatility.
▼ Higher timeframe trend (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) is bearish, aligning with the sell signal.
▼ Strong signal strength and high probability indicate robust technical alignment.
▼ Fibonacci and candlestick signals add extra confirmation to the bearish case.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15M to 2H timeframes are still bullish, which could mean the pullback is temporary.
▲ If price reclaims the 157.642 resistance, the bearish signal may be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the signal cluster is overextended; watch for a bounce from support.
▲ Mixed trend across timeframes could lead to choppy price action.