AUD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-28 06:10 UTC 17 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

0.98859

Target

1.23231 +24.65 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.91330 −7.62 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,456 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,456 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, CTI OB Exit, BOP Zero Cross Up +12 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,782 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % – first candle

MODERATE Scalping

▲ Bullish 68 % (19.12) ▼ Bearish 32 % (8.84)

model score 68.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.7 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 13.9 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 777 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

13:45TodayCADBoC Rate Statement●●○in 5h
13:45TodayCADBoC Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 2.25%in 5h
13:45TodayCADBoC Monetary Policy Report●●○in 5h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.80
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.04
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▼	KDJ OB Entry	indicator	1.33
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.31
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.24
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.21
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.17
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.15
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.09
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.08
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.04
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.94
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.86
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	0.77

Trend Context

15M

DOWNExtremely strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 30m chart are firing, but they are against a strong bearish trend across all timeframes.
The bounce is likely a counter-trend move; watch the resistance at 1.23231 for potential stall.
Momentum indicators are mixed—some turning up, others still down—so confirmation is needed.
The invalidation level for the bullish setup is the recent swing low below the current price.

The 30-minute AUD/CAD chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI Zero Cross Up, and EMA Retreat Up. These indicate that buying pressure is emerging and that price is bouncing off the lower Bollinger Band, with momentum shifting in favor of the bulls. However, the broader trend across all timeframes is bearish, with the 15m and 30m trends extremely strong to the downside. This suggests the current bullish signals may represent a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.23231, which aligns with the bearish trend's pullback zone, and the nearest support at 0.98350, which is far below and likely not relevant for this timeframe. The bullish signals are moderate in strength and probability at 68%, but the conflicting trend alignment—bearish across all timeframes—calls for caution. A break above the resistance could extend the bounce, while a failure to hold above recent swing lows would invalidate the bullish case.

Catalysts

▲ Trendline Break Up and EMA Retreat Up suggest a short-term bullish reversal attempt.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and CCI Zero Cross Up indicate buying pressure is increasing.
▲ Price retreating from the lower Bollinger Band often precedes a bounce.
▲ Moderate probability (68%) and multiple signal groups (trendline, candlestick, indicator) add confluence.

Risk Factors

▼ All timeframes are bearish, with 15m and 30m showing extremely strong downtrends—counter-trend bounces often fail.
▼ Momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) are still crossing down, suggesting the bounce may lack sustained momentum.
▼ The nearest resistance at 1.23231 is a likely ceiling; a failure to break above could resume the downtrend.
▼ If price breaks below the recent swing low, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend likely continues.