USD/CHF – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-28 06:00 UTC 17 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.06 %

Entry

0.83084

Target

0.82628 +0.55 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.83491 −0.49 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,456 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,456 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ER Level Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,782 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.4 % – first candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 37 % (3.10) ▼ Bearish 63 % (5.28)

model score 63.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.1 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 14.9 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 531 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

12:30TodayUSDGoods Trade Balance●●○Forecast -$114.307BPrevious -$132.636Bin 4h
12:30TodayUSDRetail Inventories excl. Autos m/m●●○Previous 0.0%in 4h
12:30TodayUSDRetail Inventories m/m●●○Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.2%in 4h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Ascending Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.10
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.22
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.12
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.87

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Six bearish signals on the 30M chart are firing against a bullish trend on lower timeframes, suggesting a potential reversal but not yet confirmed.
The nearest support at 0.82628 is the critical level—watch for a break below to validate the bearish shift.
Higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) remain bullish, so the bearish signal is currently a counter-trend move with weak strength.
The 12h and 1d timeframes are bearish, providing some macro alignment, but they are not yet strong trends.

The USD/CHF 30-minute signal stack is firmly bearish, with six distinct signals converging: an Ascending Triangle breakdown, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, and a Shooting Star candlestick. This confluence suggests a potential shift from the prevailing bullish momentum on the lower timeframes. However, the overall trend across 15m to 4h remains bullish, which creates a conflict: the bearish signals are firing against the current trend, indicating a possible reversal attempt rather than a confirmed downtrend. The nearest support at 0.82628 is a critical level to watch; a break below would confirm the bearish shift, while a failure to break could see the bullish trend resume.

The probability of 63% with weak strength reflects the mixed signals across timeframes. The bearish signal is strongest on the 30m chart, but higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) still show bullish trends, and the 8h is choppy. The 12h and 1d are bearish but only forming or choppy, offering some macro support. The key is the interaction between the immediate bearish pressure and the broader bullish trend. Traders should monitor whether the price can hold above the 0.82628 support; if it does, the bearish signal may be a false start, but a decisive break would align with the longer-term bearish bias on the 12h and 1d timeframes.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple signal types: chart pattern (Ascending Triangle), indicators (BOP, STOCH, ER, KDJ), and a candlestick (Shooting Star) all point bearish.
▼ The bearish signal is supported by a bearish bias on the 12h and 1d timeframes, even if not yet strong.
▼ The Ascending Triangle breakdown is a classic bearish reversal pattern, often leading to downside moves when confirmed.

Risk Factors

▲ The 30M bearish signal is contradicted by the bullish trends on 15m to 4h, which could mean the reversal fails and the bullish trend resumes.
▲ The probability is only 63% and strength is weak, indicating low conviction in the signal.
▲ If the price holds above the 0.82628 support, the bearish signal is likely to be invalidated; a break below is required for confirmation.
▲ The 8h timeframe is choppy/sideways, adding uncertainty to the medium-term direction.