AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-28 02:00 UTC 15 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %

Entry

111.090

Target

110.878 +0.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

291.699 −162.58 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,456 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,456 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SUPERTREND Flip Bearish, KELTNER MID Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,782 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % – first candle

MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping

▲ Bullish 34 % (9.90) ▼ Bearish 66 % (19.27)

model score 66.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 17.0 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 458 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:30TomorrowJPYUnemployment Rate●●○in 1 day
23:30TomorrowJPYTokyo Core CPI y/y●●○Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.7%in 1 day
23:30TomorrowJPYTokyo CPI excl. Food and Energy y/y●●●Forecast 3.0%Previous 3.0%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 03:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CMO OB Exit	indicator	2.56
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.33
▲	MCGD Retreat Up	indicator	2.13
▼	SUPERTREND Flip Bearish	indicator	1.95
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	1.66
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.43
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.33
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.23
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.21
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.20
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.15
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.09
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	0.97
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.83
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.82
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.57

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong cluster of overbought exit and momentum signals suggests short-term bearish pressure on AUD/JPY.
The bearish signal conflicts with the bullish trend on the 15m and 30m timeframes, so treat it as a potential pullback rather than a full reversal.
Watch the nearest support at 110.32400; a break below would confirm the bearish move, while resistance at 111.30800 is the key invalidation level.
Higher timeframe trends are mostly bullish but weak, so the signal's probability is moderate (66%) and strength is moderate.

The 30-minute AUD/JPY chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including CMO OB Exit, RSI OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, BIAS Zero Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down, and RSX OB Exit, alongside additional candlestick and indicator signals. This suggests that the recent upward momentum has become overextended and is now reversing, at least on the short-term timeframe. The confluence of multiple overbought exits and momentum crossovers points to a potential pullback or trend reversal in the making.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes show bullish trends (4/5 and 3/5 strength, respectively), the higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, 12h) are only mildly bullish or choppy, and the daily trend is bearish. This means the bearish signal is firing against the immediate higher-timeframe bias, limiting its reliability. Key levels to watch are resistance at 111.30800 and support at 110.32400. A break below the nearest support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (CMO, RSI, RSX) indicate the short-term uptrend is stretched and due for a correction.
▼ The STOCHF KD Cross Down and BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down confirm a shift in momentum and price action.
▼ The BIAS Zero Cross Down and ER Level Cross Down add to the bearish confluence, strengthening the signal.
▼ The daily trend is bearish, providing a longer-term backdrop that supports a downside move.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are still bullish, so the bearish signal could be a temporary pullback within an ongoing uptrend.
▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 111.30800, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Higher timeframes (1h and above) are not strongly bearish, so the move may lack follow-through.
▲ Momentum could fade quickly if the overbought conditions are resolved without a sustained breakdown.