LUNC/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW
28 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.42 %
Entry
0.00004561
Target
0.00004674 +2.48 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.00004344 −4.76 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 12
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 1,718 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,718 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
31 % at target avg +2.67 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.91 % 21 % at stop avg −3.75 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Retreat Up, ALMA Retreat Up, T3 Retreat Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
67.1 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 94 % (31.65) ▼ Bearish 6 % (2.01)
model score 94.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
LUNC/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.067MPrevious -3.060Min 1h
  • TodayUSDFed Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.00%in 5h
  • TodayUSDFOMC Press Conference●●●in 5h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 12:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.26
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 2.10
▲ T3 Retreat Up indicator 2.08
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.02
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 2.01
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 1.99
▲ AROON Cross Up indicator 1.84
▲ AROONOSC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.84
▲ APO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.70
▲ AO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.67
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.49
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.41
▲ AROON Strong Uptrend indicator 1.26
▲ VORTEX Cross Up indicator 1.17

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal cluster on the 4H, but higher timeframes (8H–1D) remain bearish—confirmation needed from a break above 0.00005.
  • Support at 0.00004 is critical; a close below it invalidates the bullish setup.
  • Probability of 94% and very strong strength suggest momentum is real, but counter-trend bounces can be sharp and short-lived.
  • Watch for convergence of higher timeframe trend turning up or at least stalling before adding full confidence.
The 4H chart for LUN/CUSDT has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum signals—APO, Aroon, BOP, Stochastic Fast, and EMA/MA retreats all turning up—indicating strong short-term buying pressure. However, the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain firmly bearish, with the 12H showing a very strong downtrend. This creates a sharp conflict: the lower timeframes are attempting to reverse, but the higher trend is still pressing down. The immediate battle zone is between the 0.00004 support and the 0.00005 resistance. If price can hold above support and push through resistance with volume, the reversal may gain traction; otherwise, this could be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.

The signal's strength is exceptional at 94%, which often precedes a meaningful move, but the contradictory higher timeframe trend is a major caveat. The support at 0.00004 is the key line in the sand—losing it would invalidate the bullish case and likely extend the bearish phase. Resistance at 0.00005 is the first major hurdle; breaking it could attract more buyers, but note the 8H trend is also solidly bearish, so any rally may face selling pressure. The convergence of sentiment and lower-timeframe momentum supports a tentative bullish bias, but traders should treat this as a scalp or swing opportunity only with tight risk management, given the overarching bearish trend.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum indicators (APO, Aroon, BOP, Stochastic) all firing bullish simultaneously.
  • ▲ EMA and MA retreats signal price pulling back to support within an uptrend on the 4H chart.
  • ▲ Aggregate sentiment and signal strength at 94% indicate a high-probability short-term move.
  • ▲ Lower timeframe trends (15m–4H) are all turning bullish, showing a bottoming process.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trends (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish and could overpower the lower-timeframe reversal.
  • ▼ Failure to hold the 0.00004 support could lead to a quick collapse.
  • ▼ The 4H trend is still classified as 'choppy/sideways', which often leads to false breakouts.
  • ▼ Resistance at 0.00005 is nearby; if volume is lacking, the rally may stop there.
Symbol LUNC/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 94%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-28 08:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.00005 2026-10-25
R2 0.00005 2026-10-20
R3 0.00005 2026-10-16
S1 0.00004 2026-10-24

Tags

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