NZD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW
15 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.06 %
Entry
0.56079
Target
0.55910 +0.30 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.57072 −1.77 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,281 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,281 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ZLMA Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,782 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Intraday
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (8.30)
model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
NZD/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDRetail Inventories excl. Autos m/m●●○Previous 0.0%in 7h
  • TodayUSDRetail Inventories m/m●●○Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.2%in 7h
  • TodayUSDGoods Trade Balance●●○Forecast -$114.307BPrevious -$132.636Bin 7h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ZLMA Retreat Down indicator 2.34
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.88
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.78

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Three bearish indicators align on the 1H, signaling strong short-term selling pressure.
  • Trend is bearish across most timeframes, but the 12H is bullish, so this may be a pullback within a larger uptrend.
  • Watch the 0.55910 support: a break would confirm the bearish move; a reclaim of 0.57072 would signal weakness in the sell thesis.
  • The very strong signal strength suggests high conviction, but always manage risk with the conflicting 12H trend in mind.
The 1H NZD/USD signal fires three bearish indicators simultaneously: a BOP Zero Cross Down, an STOCHF KD Cross Down, and a ZLMA Retreat Down. These indicators align to confirm a shift in momentum and a pullback in the trend, with the ZLMA retreat signaling that price is moving away from an upper band. The confluence of these signals on the 1H timeframe, combined with a very strong probability and strength rating, suggests a high-confidence bearish setup.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent from 15m through 8H, with the 15m and 30m showing the strongest trend scores (4/5 and 3/5), while the 1H through 8H are all forming (2/5). However, the 12H timeframe shows a bullish trend (3/5), which introduces a potential conflict: the longer-term trend is still upward, meaning this sell signal could be a corrective move within a larger bullish structure. The nearest resistance at 0.57072 and support at 0.55910 define the immediate range; a break below support would reinforce the bearish case, while a reclaim of resistance could invalidate it.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of three independent bearish indicators (BOP, STOCHF, ZLMA) on the 1H.
  • ▼ Bearish trend alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1H with strong trend scores.
  • ▼ Nearest support at 0.55910 provides a clear downside target and invalidation reference.
  • ▼ Very strong signal strength and 100% probability boost confidence in the move.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 12H timeframe is bullish (3/5), which could mean the sell signal is a temporary correction within a larger uptrend.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 0.57072 resistance, the bearish thesis weakens and could reverse.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if the 1H trend score (2/5) doesn't strengthen; watch for stalling near support.
  • ▲ The ZLMA retreat could be a normal oscillation, not a sustained downtrend, especially if higher timeframes stay bullish.
Symbol NZD/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-28 03:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.57072 2026-10-26
R2 0.57104 2026-10-22
S1 0.55910 2026-10-15

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