NZD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 12:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.19 %

Entry

0.56168

Target

0.57076 +1.62 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55984 −0.33 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Up, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up +14 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.1 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 16.6 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 517 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 4h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 4h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 4h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.78
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.56
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.49
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.39
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.37
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.34
▲	AROON Cross Up	indicator	1.26
▲	AROONOSC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.26
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.22
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.21
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.00

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggests strong short-term buying momentum.
The higher timeframes are bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend bounce unless resistance is broken.
Watch the 0.57076 resistance; a break above could shift the outlook, while a drop below 0.55984 support invalidates the signal.
The 100% probability reflects signal strength, not a guarantee—use risk management.

The 30-minute NZD/USD chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including an Aroon Cross Up, Aroon Strong Uptrend, Aroon Oscillator Zero Cross Up, Balance of Power Zero Cross Up, Momentum Zero Cross Up, Rate of Change Zero Cross Up, ROCR Cross Up, and a Stochastic RSI KD Cross Up, alongside additional candlestick and indicator confirmations. This suggests a sharp, broad-based shift in short-term momentum, with multiple independent measures converging to indicate that buyers are taking control after a period of selling pressure. The sheer number of signals and their alignment point to a strong, immediate bullish impulse, though the probability score of 100% should be interpreted as a reflection of signal confluence rather than a guarantee of future price movement.

However, the higher timeframes remain predominantly bearish, with solid downtrends on the 30-minute, 1-hour, and daily charts, and trend-forming bearish structures on the 2-hour through 12-hour timeframes. This creates a classic conflict: a powerful short-term bullish signal against a longer-term bearish trend. The nearest resistance at 0.57076 is a critical level; a decisive break above it could signal a deeper correction or potential reversal, while failure to hold above the nearest support at 0.55984 would invalidate the bullish case and likely resume the broader downtrend. Traders should watch these levels closely for confirmation or rejection of the signal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicator groups (Aroon, BOP, Momentum, ROC, Stochastic RSI) all fired bullish simultaneously, indicating strong confluence.
▲ The 'strong uptrend' reading from Aroon suggests the short-term trend is accelerating.
▲ The signal occurred at a time when price is likely near support, providing a potential springboard for a bounce.
▲ The 15-minute timeframe is beginning to turn bullish, hinting at early momentum shift.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (30m, 1h, 1d) are in solid bearish trends, which often overpower short-term counter-trend rallies.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.57076 is a formidable barrier; if price fails there, the bounce could fade quickly.
▼ Momentum indicators can become overbought quickly in a downtrend, leading to a sharp reversal.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.55984 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely accelerate the downtrend.