USD/CAD – 2H – BUY

BUY 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 13:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.49 %

Entry

1.40368

Target

1.40821 +0.32 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.39684 −0.49 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 900 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 900 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Break Up, Falling Wedge, DEMA Break Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 673 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 4h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 4h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 4h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA Break Up	indicator	3.08
▲	Falling Wedgebreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.83
▲	DEMA Break Up	indicator	2.76
▲	MIDPRICE Break Up	indicator	2.55
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.48
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.44
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.32
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.32
▲	EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.31
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	2.30
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.87
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	0.89

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful bullish signal cluster on the 2H chart suggests a short-term bounce in USD/CAD.
The nearest resistance at 1.40556 is the key upside target; a break above it could open further gains.
The broader trend (4H, 8H, daily) is bearish, so this is a counter-trend trade with limited upside potential.
The nearest support at 1.39684 is the invalidation level; a close below it would negate the bullish setup.

The USD/CAD 2H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators, including a Falling Wedge breakout, a Golden Cross on the 20/50 EMA, and a DEMA/EMA break to the upside, alongside a bullish KD cross and retreats up on the HT Trendline, KAMA, and MA. This confluence of chart pattern and trend-following indicators points to a strong short-term bullish impulse, with the nearest resistance at 1.40556 acting as the immediate upside target. The signal's very strong strength and 98% probability reflect the alignment of multiple independent signals on the 2H timeframe, suggesting that buyers are in control in the near term.

However, the higher timeframes paint a more cautious picture. The 2H, 4H, and 8H trends are still bearish, with the daily also showing a solid downtrend. This means the bullish signals are firing against the larger trend, which could limit upside or lead to a counter-trend bounce. The nearest support at 1.39684 is a critical level to watch; a break below it would invalidate the bullish setup and likely signal a continuation of the broader downtrend. Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a larger bearish structure, keeping position sizes conservative and stops tight.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals fired simultaneously (Falling Wedge, Golden Cross, DEMA/EMA break up, retreats up) indicate strong confluence.
▲ The 15m and 30m trends are bullish, supporting the short-term momentum.
▲ The 2H signal strength is 'very strong' with a 98% probability, reflecting high conviction in the setup.
▲ The Falling Wedge pattern often leads to a bullish breakout, and the price has already broken above key EMAs.

Risk Factors

▼ The 2H, 4H, 8H, and daily trends are bearish, suggesting the larger trend is down and this could be a counter-trend rally.
▼ The nearest resistance at 1.40556 is close, which could cap upside and lead to a reversal.
▼ If the price breaks below the nearest support at 1.39684, the bullish setup is invalidated and the downtrend may resume.
▼ Momentum could fade if the higher timeframe bearish pressure reasserts, leading to a failed breakout.