USD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-28 03:05 UTC 17 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.09 %

Entry

157.912

Target

156.649 +0.80 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.344 −0.27 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,281 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,281 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, TEMA Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,782 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +1% Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (9.72)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.3 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 601 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

12:30TodayUSDRetail Inventories excl. Autos m/m●●○Previous 0.0%in 7h
12:30TodayUSDRetail Inventories m/m●●○Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.2%in 7h
12:30TodayUSDGoods Trade Balance●●○Forecast -$114.307BPrevious -$132.636Bin 7h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.65
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.55
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.36
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.31
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.13

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 1H signal is overwhelmingly bearish with a very strong confluence of indicators, but the higher timeframe trend is mixed, with bullish 2H and 4H trends.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 158.344 (invalidation if broken) and support at 156.649 (potential target).
The Fibonacci break at 24% adds weight to the bearish case, but the choppy higher timeframes suggest the move may be part of a larger consolidation.
The signal is time-sensitive; the 1H bearish impulse may fade if the bullish 2H trend dominates.

The 1H USD/JPY signal fires a dense cluster of bearish indicators at 07:05 UTC, all aligned in the same direction: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, TEMA Retreat Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, and a Fibonacci Break DownTrend at the 24% level. This confluence suggests a strong, short-term bearish impulse within the 1H timeframe, with a very strong probability score. The signal is supported by the higher timeframes: the 8H and 12H trends are already bearish (though choppy), and the 1D is bearish, indicating that the longer-term bias is also down. However, the 15m, 30m, 2H, and 4H trends are bullish, which creates a mixed picture. The 2H shows a solid bullish trend (3/5), which could act as a counter-trend force. The key levels are resistance at 158.344 and support at 156.649. The immediate move likely targets the area near support, but the bullish higher timeframes (2H and 4H) may limit the downside or cause a bounce. The Fibonacci break at 24% suggests the price has already retraced part of a prior move, and a further break could extend the decline, but the invalidation level would be a reclaim of the broken Fibonacci level or a break above the nearest resistance.

Catalysts

▼ Strong alignment of seven distinct indicators all pointing down on the 1H timeframe.
▼ Higher timeframe trend (8H, 12H, 1D) is bearish, providing a supportive backdrop.
▼ The Fibonacci break at 24% indicates a key level has been breached, often accelerating moves.
▼ The signal probability is 100% with very strong strength, suggesting high confidence in the short-term move.

Risk Factors

▲ The 2H and 4H timeframes are bullish and solid (2H at 3/5), which could counteract the 1H bearish signal and cause a reversal or sideways drift.
▲ The 15m and 30m are bullish and choppy, indicating possible short-term bounces.
▲ If price reclaims the broken Fibonacci level or breaks above the 158.344 resistance, the bearish signal is invalidated.
▲ The choppy nature of higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) suggests the trend may not be strong enough to sustain a long move, so the downside could be limited.