USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 13:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.08 %

Entry

158.166

Target

157.655 +0.32 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.954 −0.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, RSX OB Entry +1 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 669 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 4h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 4h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 4h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.12
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.10
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	1.06
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.04

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish momentum signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term pullback.
Higher timeframes remain bullish, so this is likely a countertrend move within an uptrend.
Watch the 157.65500 support level; a break below it would strengthen the bearish case.
Signal strength is weak, so position sizing should reflect limited conviction.

The 30-minute USD/JPY chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, KDJ OB Exit, RSX OB Entry, and a Bearish Harami candlestick pattern. These signals collectively indicate that the recent upward momentum on this timeframe is fading, with momentum oscillators rolling over from overbought conditions and a bearish candlestick pattern confirming the shift in short-term sentiment.

However, the broader trend context is predominantly bullish across the 15-minute through 4-hour timeframes, with the 2-hour chart showing a solid uptrend. The bearish signals on the 30-minute chart run counter to this higher-timeframe bullish alignment, suggesting that this is likely a short-term pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a major reversal. The nearest support is identified at 157.65500, and a break below this level would be a key confirmation of further downside. Given the weak signal strength and the conflicting higher-timeframe trends, traders should treat this as a low-conviction, short-term opportunity.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, RSI, STOCH, KDJ, RSX) all turning bearish.
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick pattern adds a price-action confirmation to the momentum shift.
▼ Overbought exits on RSI and KDJ suggest the recent rally has lost steam.
▼ Nearest support at 157.65500 provides a clear downside target for the pullback.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (15m to 4h) are bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a quick bounce.
▲ The 2-hour chart shows a solid uptrend, indicating strong buying interest at higher levels.
▲ The signal strength is weak (55% probability), so the bearish move may lack momentum.
▲ A break above recent highs would invalidate the bearish setup and signal a continuation of the uptrend.