AUD/CAD – 2H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 20:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.48 %

Entry

0.98705

Target

0.98229 +0.48 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.99664 −0.97 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 900 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 900 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Break Down, SAR Flip Bearish, DEMA Break Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 15h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 15h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.60%in 15h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA 200 Break Down	indicator	2.15
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	2.15
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.03
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.71
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	STC Level Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.43
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	1.21
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	1.07
▼	Three Outside Down	candlestick	0.74

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster on the 2H chart suggests immediate downward pressure, with high probability and strength.
The break below the 200 EMA is a key structural event, often signaling a potential trend change.
Conflicting higher timeframe trends (1H, 2H, 4H bullish) mean this could be a counter-trend move, so caution is warranted.
Watch the nearest support at 0.98229; a break below it would confirm the bearish case, while a bounce could invalidate the signal.

The AUD/CAD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including CCI Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, DEMA Break Down, EMA 200 Break Down, SAR Flip Bearish, FISHER Zero Cross Down, and STC Level Cross Down, among others. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to a strong short-term bearish shift, with the probability rated at 94% and strength very strong. The break below the 200 EMA is particularly notable, as it often signals a structural change in the prevailing trend on this timeframe.

However, the broader picture is mixed. While the 15m and 30m timeframes are bearish, the 1H and 2H trends are still classified as bullish trend forming, and the 4H is bullish but choppy. This divergence suggests the bearish signal may be a counter-trend move within a larger bullish structure. The nearest support at 0.98229 is the immediate downside target, while resistance at 0.98716 caps upside. A sustained move below support would confirm the bearish reversal, whereas a bounce could invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ High confluence of multiple indicator signals (CCI, MACD, STOCH, DEMA, EMA 200, SAR, FISHER, STC) all pointing down.
▼ Strong trend score (94% probability, very strong) increases the likelihood of follow-through.
▼ Break below the 200 EMA adds a structural element to the bearish case.
▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are already bearish, aligning with the 2H signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) are still bullish, suggesting the bearish signal may be a pullback within an uptrend.
▲ The 4H trend is bullish but choppy, indicating a lack of clear direction on that timeframe.
▲ The nearest support at 0.98229 is a critical level; a failure to break below it could lead to a bounce back toward resistance.
▲ Momentum could fade quickly if the market reverts to the higher timeframe trend, so watch for a close back above the 200 EMA or resistance at 0.98716.