AUD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-29 11:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.06 %

Entry

0.70336

Target

0.70094 +0.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70680 −0.49 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,436 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,436 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 14.3 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 588 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 9h
15:00TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 9h
22:00TodayAUDAi Group Industry Index●●○Previous -24.2in 16h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	2.55
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.11
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.03
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	2.02
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.98
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	1.87
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.78
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.78
▼	MACD Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.58
▼	TSI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▲	DI CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.13
▲	DM CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.00
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.82

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish 1H signal is firing against a bullish higher-timeframe backdrop, so treat it as a counter-trend move.
Watch the 0.70221 support: a break below would confirm the sell signal, while a hold could see a bounce.
The 15m and 30m are already bearish, aligning with the 1H, but 2H and 4H remain bullish—expect potential chop.
Strong signal strength (75%) but limited trend scores across timeframes suggest a tactical short, not a long-term shift.

The 1H AUD/USD SELL signal is firing against a predominantly bullish backdrop across higher timeframes, creating a classic counter-trend setup. The cluster of bearish indicators—BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OS Exit, MACD Zero Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats—suggests a short-term momentum shift to the downside. The 15m and 30m timeframes are already bearish, aligning with the 1H signal, but the 2H and 4H timeframes remain solidly bullish, indicating that this sell signal may be a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.70680 and support at 0.70221. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a hold above support could see the pair resume its bullish bias. The confluence of multiple indicators on the 1H timeframe adds weight to the signal, but the higher-timeframe bullish trend is a significant counterweight. Traders should treat this as a tactical short opportunity, not a trend reversal, and manage risk accordingly.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators converge on the 1H timeframe (BOP, CCI, MACD, moving averages) all pointing down.
▼ Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m) are already bearish, providing near-term alignment.
▼ The signal is strong (75% probability) with a cluster of candlestick and indicator patterns.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H) are bullish, which could override the 1H bearish signal.
▲ The 1H timeframe itself is still bullish, so the sell signal is counter to its own trend.
▲ If price holds above 0.70221, the bearish move may fade and reverse.
▲ Trend scores are low (2/5) across most timeframes, indicating weak momentum and potential chop.