AUD/USD – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.23 %
Entry
0.70238
Target
0.70094 +0.21 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.70398 −0.23 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 900 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 900 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: TRIMA Break Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 669 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/USD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 9h
  • TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 9h
  • TodayAUDAi Group Industry Index●●○Previous -24.2in 16h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 2h 6%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ TRIMA Break Down indicator 2.39
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.11
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.09
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.02
▼ HT TRENDLINE Break Down indicator 2.00
▼ DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.97
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.94
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.93
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.90
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.86
▼ VORTEX Cross Down indicator 1.68
▼ FISHER Zero Cross Down indicator 1.62
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.47
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.46
▲ KDJ OS Entry indicator 1.24
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.22
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.19

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish momentum on 2H with multiple zero-cross signals and a trendline break.
  • Immediate downside target is support at 0.70094; resistance at 0.70398 is the invalidation zone.
  • Higher timeframes (2H-1D) are bullish, creating a conflicting backdrop that may limit the bearish move.
  • Watch for a break below support to confirm, or a bounce if support holds.
The 2H AUD/USD signal is strongly bearish (89% probability, very strong), driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators: MOM, ROC, and ROCR all crossed below zero, signaling a shift in momentum; WILLR entered oversold territory; DEMA and EMA retreats confirm a downward pull; HT TRENDLINE broke down; and MAMA price retreated. The confluence of these indicators on the 2H timeframe points to a meaningful bearish move, with the nearest support at 0.70094 as the immediate downside target. However, the broader trend picture is mixed: while the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are bearish (though weak, with trend scores of 1-2/5), the 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are all bullish (also weak, mostly 2/5). This means the bearish signal is firing against the higher-timeframe bullish trend, which could limit follow-through or lead to a pullback rather than a sustained downtrend.

Traders should watch the nearest support at 0.70094 as a key level; a break below would confirm the bearish momentum, while a hold could trigger a bounce back toward resistance at 0.70398. The signal's strength is supported by the multiple momentum crossovers and the trendline break, but the conflicting bullish bias on higher timeframes is a major risk. The choppy/sideways conditions on 30m and 12h add uncertainty. Overall, the signal suggests short-term bearish pressure, but traders should be cautious about expecting a large move given the higher-timeframe bullish backdrop.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossed below zero, confirming bearish momentum.
  • ▼ HT TRENDLINE break down adds a structural bearish signal.
  • ▼ WILLR oversold entry suggests pressure is building, though it could also mean exhaustion.
  • ▼ The bearish trend on lower timeframes (15m-1h) aligns with the 2H signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (2H-1D) are bullish, which could override the bearish signal.
  • ▲ The nearest support at 0.70094 is close; a hold there could trigger a bounce.
  • ▲ Momentum indicators like WILLR oversold may indicate the move is overextended and due for a correction.
  • ▲ Trend scores are weak (1-2/5) across all timeframes, suggesting a lack of strong trend conviction.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 6%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-29 11:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70398 2026-10-26
S1 0.70094 2026-10-27
S2 0.69940 2026-10-22
S3 0.68941 2026-10-15

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