EUR/USD – 4H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-29 05:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.24 %

Entry

1.11391

Target

1.11129 +0.24 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12608 −1.09 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 546 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 546 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.43 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Bear Flag, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 11h
15:00TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 11h
08:00TomorrowEURUnemployment Change●●○Forecast 27.971KPrevious 23.587Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Bear Flagbreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.44
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.62
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.54
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.43
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.04
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.94
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.78
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.75

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence: Bear Flag, BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Up, and multiple moving average retreats all point lower.
Trend is uniformly bearish across all timeframes, with the strongest conviction on 4H and 1D.
Watch the 1.12608 resistance as the key invalidation level; a break above would negate the setup.
The 1.11129 support is the immediate downside objective; a break could accelerate the move.

The EUR/USD 4H signal is a powerful confluence of bearish evidence. The Bear Flag pattern on the chart is confirmed by a cluster of moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT) and a HT TRENDLINE retreat, all pointing to a well-established downtrend. The BOP Zero Cross Down and MACD Signal Cross Up add momentum and directional confirmation, while the candlestick group reinforces the price action. The probability of 94% and 'very strong' strength reflect this alignment of pattern, indicator, and candlestick signals.

The trend across timeframes is uniformly bearish, with the strongest conviction on the 4H (solid, 3/5) and 1D (very strong, 4/5) timeframes. The 1H and 2H are forming, and the 15m/30m are choppy but still bearish, suggesting the pullback is shallow. This multi-timeframe alignment supports a continued move lower. The nearest resistance at 1.12608 is the invalidation zone; as long as price stays below it, the bearish bias remains. The nearest support at 1.11129 is the immediate downside target, but a break could open further downside.

Catalysts

▼ Bear Flag pattern is a classic continuation signal, and its presence on the 4H adds high-probability downside bias.
▼ Multiple moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT) and HT TRENDLINE retreat confirm the trend is not just a one-off indicator.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and MACD Signal Cross Up provide momentum and trend confirmation, reinforcing the bearish case.
▼ Strong alignment across timeframes (4H solid, 1D very strong) increases the likelihood of the move playing out.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are choppy/sideways, which could lead to short-term consolidation or a shallow pullback before continuation.
▲ If price rallies above the 1.12608 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated and a reversal could unfold.
▲ The 8H timeframe is only choppy/sideways (1/5), which is a conflicting higher timeframe that might cap the downside momentum.
▲ Momentum could fade if the MACD and BOP signals lose steam, especially if volume or news sentiment turns against the trend.