GBP/JPY – 12H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 21:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.87 %

Entry

210.153

Target

206.885 +1.56 %

closes in profit

Stop

211.990 −0.87 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 210 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 210 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.70 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.50 % 17 % at stop avg −0.66 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/JPY

Full calendar

23:50TomorrowJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes●●○in 1 day
12:00November 5, 2026GBPBoE MPC Vote Unchanged●●○Previous 6in 2 days
12:00November 5, 2026GBPBoE MPC Vote Hike●●○Previous 3in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.88
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.83
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.80
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.79
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	1.77
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.99

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish indicators (APO, BOP, HT TRENDLINE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, SMA, BIAS, CTI) aligns on the 12H timeframe.
All timeframes from 15m to 1d are bearish, but trend scores are low (1/5), indicating a choppy, sideways market.
Watch the nearest support at 206.88500; a break below would confirm bearish momentum, while resistance at 211.99000 is the invalidation zone.
The signal is strong (76% probability) but the low trend strength suggests potential volatility and false moves.

The GBP/JPY 12H signal is firing a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including APO Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down, BIAS Zero Cross Down, and CTI OS Exit. This confluence reflects a broad-based loss of upward momentum across momentum, volume, trend, and volatility metrics. The alignment of these signals on the 12H timeframe, combined with a bearish bias across all other timeframes (15m through 1d), suggests a coherent bearish narrative rather than a single isolated trigger. The market is described as choppy/sideways with a low trend score (1/5), indicating that while the direction is bearish, the trend is not strongly established and price action may be erratic.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 211.99000 and support at 206.88500. A sustained move below the support would reinforce the bearish outlook, while a reclaim of the resistance would challenge the signal's validity. Given the low trend scores across timeframes, traders should be cautious about expecting a smooth, linear decline; instead, they should anticipate potential volatility and whipsaws. The signal's high probability (76%) and strong strength, however, lend weight to the bearish case, but the choppy nature of the market warrants careful risk management.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple independent indicator groups (momentum, volume, trend) all pointing lower.
▼ Bearish alignment across all observed timeframes supports the 12H signal.
▼ The HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down and MIDPOINT Retreat Down suggest rejection from higher levels, adding to the bearish case.
▼ Strong signal probability (76%) and strength rating reinforce the likelihood of continuation.

Risk Factors

▲ Low trend scores (1/5) across timeframes indicate a choppy, sideways market that could produce false breakouts.
▲ The 1H timeframe shows a bullish bias, which could act as a conflicting higher timeframe if it gains traction.
▲ A move back above the nearest resistance at 211.99000 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Momentum signals (APO, BOP) could fade quickly if volume dries up, leading to a stall or reversal.